Pan American Health Organization PAHO
PAHO headquarters in Washington, DC, in 2026. The US administration has called the organization “corrupt” as it proposes to eliminate funding.

A group of senior national security and health officials voiced their concern that cutting funding to the regional health organization cripples the Western Hemisphere’s ability to defend itself against disease threats. Reductions in staff and other cost-saving measures are likely, the organization says.

The oldest multilateral health organization in the world, the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO), is fighting across dozens of countries against many of the same health threats as it did at its founding in Washington, DC, some 120 years ago: vector borne disease transmission like dengue and Zika, new and emerging diseases like New World Screwworm, and recurring outbreaks of vaccine preventable diseases like measles.

But the organization now faces an unprecedented challenge – the potential loss of US funding.

Amid ongoing outbreaks across the Americas, the US President’s Fiscal Year 2027 budget request to Congress proposes eliminating funding to the Pan American Health Organization. The administration called PAHO and the World Health Organization (WHO) “corrupt organizations” that show “no independence from inappropriate political influence”, part of a raft of international organisations it describes as promoting “dangerous ideologies” and “taking advantage of American generosity”.  

The US is the largest single contributor to PAHO and accounts for half of all member state contributions to the organization. The US already owes nearly $135 million in member fees since 2024.

After slashing aid to global health programmes around the world, US President Donald Trump and his administration have set their sights on PAHO, threatening to eliminate its funding and terminate a 124-year history of US cooperation with the organisation it helped found. 

Former national and health security officials, though, were quick to back PAHO as the “first line of defense” against diseases in the Western Hemisphere. 

“Destroying the institution – PAHO – that has protected us all is the worst idea circulating in Washington right now,” said Andrew Natsios, a Republican politician and humanitarian official under multiple administrations, in a statement to Health Policy Watch. “It is delusional to think we can stop disease at our borders. We can only manage these health crises through regional cooperation.”

In response to unpaid US dues, PAHO, which is the regional arm of the WHO in 35 member states across the Americas, has adopted a 17% reduction in its upcoming budget. It has also established a cost-saving “Shared Services Hub”– an effort to consolidate and streamline core administrative functions from Washington headquarters to lower-cost locations, the organization said in a statement to Health Policy Watch.

Across the organization, total positions are projected to drop from 1,042 during the 2024–2025 budget cycle to approximately 869 positions across 2026–2027. 

With USAID shuttered and the future of CDC regional offices unclear, PAHO remains one of the only presences in the region that could coordinate 35 member states across the Americas on issues of health security. 

Leading US national security officials decry defunding

Friends of PAHO
The Friends of PAHO, a bipartisan coalition of national and health security officials, voiced its deep support for the organization founded by the US some 124 years ago.

The President’s submitted budget mirrors last year’s turmoil in global health funding – deep slashes to programs that support maternal and child health, malaria and tuberculosis control, HIV/AIDS control, and neglected tropical diseases (NTDs).

Congress may still appropriate funds, as advocated for by an open letter signed by the dozens of national security and health officials who served across Republican and Democratic administrations.

“PAHO has an unmatched record of protecting health,” the more than 100 signatories write in the letter, which include former Army surgeon generals, Department of Defense officials, Health and Human Services secretaries, former members of Congress, White House officials, and ambassadors. They represent a new bipartisan coalition, the Friends of PAHO.

“For 124 years, it has been one of the most effective health and disease prevention organizations operating anywhere in the world,” the letter states. “At a time when infectious disease threats continue to cross borders, we urge policymakers in Washington to reassert America’s commitment to health security in the Western Hemisphere and recognize PAHO’s essential role in safeguarding the American homeland.”

PAHO targeted for decades-old scandal

Mais medicos doctors
Cuban Mais Medicos doctors arrive in 2020 Martinique as part of a medical delegation to assist with COVID-19-related programs.

The Trump Administration initially singled out PAHO in 2025 in a move to withhold funding from key international organizations. The concerns came after the Trump Administration alleged PAHO was mediating a forced labor scheme among Cuban doctors, as part of a Brazilian program Mais Medicos.

The scheme, which took place over a decade ago, resulted in US sanctions against Cuba for forced labor of its doctors. The Brazilian health officials involved were also subject to sanctions.

In the past year, however, the administration has dredged the issue to the forefront of its qualms with PAHO and succeeded in withholding $4.9 billion in previously appropriated foreign assistance through a controversial “pocket rescission” in September 2025, including $45 million earmarked for PAHO. Representative Carlos Gimenez (FL-28), who issued the call to action against PAHO’s immunity in August 2025, did not respond to a request for comment. 

However, it is not exactly clear why the decade-old scandal has resurfaced as an issue for withholding contributions to PAHO.

See related story: Pan American Health Organization Targeted in New Round of US Funding Cuts

US owes over $135 million in assessed contributions

PAHO budget
PAHO has made a net -17% adjustment to its budget for the upcoming two years from $820 million in 2024-2025 to $762 million in 2026-2027.

The US has not yet formally withdrawn from PAHO: it remains a member and continues to owe assessed contributions like several other countries. In fact, PAHO is the only multilateral health organization the US is a member of following last year’s withdrawal from the World Health Organization and other related organizations. US payments to PAHO have been delayed now for nearly two years, leaving the organization under increased pressure. 

Beyond funding, the US supports PAHO through staffing experts and providing technical advice in Washington.

In a statement, PAHO said it has not been officially informed of a decision to eliminate funding to the organization.  

There have been several instances in which Congress has ignored proposed funding cuts from the Office of Budget and Management (OMB), instead opting to support global aid across party lines. Indeed, several high-ranking Republican members of Congress and former officials have spoken out against a US withdrawal from global aid, and the ways the Administration has attempted to rescind funding.

Senator Susan Collins, Chair of the Senate Appropriations Committee, called the rescissions move “a clear violation of the law” and said that she “cannot support the cuts that are so deep and so damaging in global health programs,” in a Senate hearing with OMB chief Russel Vought. 

Andrew Natsios, whose career as a Republican politician and public servant spans five decades, echoed this sentiment, saying that “diseases, both human and animal, don’t need passports to travel across borders. The health crises of Latin America will become the health crises of the US and our crises will eventually travel to our southern neighbors. PAHO, for more than eight decades, has been the first line of defense against these crises.”

For now, PAHO continues to coordinate responses to the devastating earthquakes in Colombia and Venezuela, surveil measles and dengue outbreaks, and monitor potential avian flu cases despite the budget cuts. 

A sudden break in a 120-year partnership

PAHO history
The front page of a Washington-based newspaper documenting a meeting of delegates from the Americas to disucss public health.

PAHO was founded in Washington, DC, in 1902 under President Theodore Roosevelt, making it the oldest such organization. The dire health consequences of the Spanish-American War in Cuba and the deadly yellow fever epidemics that struck American workers building the Panama Canal spurred Roosevelt to convene what was then called the International Sanitary Bureau in Washington, DC. 

The close ties between the US and PAHO predate those of any other health multilateral. “Until the late 1950s, the organization’s earliest directors were US health specialists,” said Katherine Bliss, director at CSIS Global Health Policy Center and an expert on Latin America. She notes that included former military doctors and leaders within the US Public Health Service.

“PAHO was founded on US soil, by US leadership, and built on the conviction that American leadership in this hemisphere produces results,” the open letter calling to protect PAHO’s funding states. “For 124 years, the US has not only successfully engaged with PAHO but has been the moving force behind PAHO’s work that serves American interests and reflects American values.”

“In this context, sustaining U.S. leadership in PAHO is an America First strategy in practice,” it adds.

Some 120 years later, spillovers in the Amazon Rainforest and ongoing dengue outbreaks mean that the original mission of PAHO is still as pertinent in protecting the US and the Western Hemisphere’s health security as it was last century. 

“Its founding purpose was unambiguously practical: protect American commerce and public health by controlling infectious disease in the hemisphere,” Friends of PAHO said.  

PAHO initially operated independently from the United Nations system with a mission of prompt data transmission and response coordination of sanitary conditions of seaports, maritime quarantines, and the control of infectious diseases–especially yellow fever.

Then in 1949, PAHO became the independent regional arm of the World Health Organization, continuing to track, respond to, and even eradicate the most insidious diseases in the Americas.

Victories despite ongoing outbreaks and emerging public health concerns

Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) administering vaccines in Venezuela during an outbreak 2017-2019.

PAHO’s elimination of polio, malaria, and smallpox in the region are all seen as major victories. Despite this, new and re-emerging threats continue to threaten the health of the Americas, Friends of PAHO warn.

In particular, H5N1 avian influenza, dengue, chikungunya, and leishmaniasis are now circulating in the US. And an insect that carries a devastating disease afflicting cattle and other livestock, the New World Screwworm, has been identified in the US for the first time in six decades.

Other concerns in the region include dengue, which the US has recently seen a surge of locally acquired cases in Florida, the loss of measles elimination status in several countries, and the looming threat of a supercharged El Niño season.

“Our struggle with nature is both inherent and mandatory,” explained Stewart Simonson, a senior advisor at Global Health Strategies and a former WHO official, in reference to disease spillovers. “This requires multilateral action,” he said.

Simonson, who also also served as a US Health and Human Services official during the Bush Administration coordinating public health emergency management following 9/11, pointed to the example of a measles outbreak in Caracas, Venezuela, in the late 2010s under then dictator Nicolás Maduro.

“The outbreak was going nowhere but North,” Simonson said. It was only through PAHO-mediated response and a US-funded vaccination campaign that involved mobilizing over 20,000 vaccinators per month that the outbreak was suppressed – with PAHO serving as the intermediary between the US and Venezuela. 

In 2025 alone, PAHO’s regional surveillance system analyzed 2.1 million disease threat data points, detecting 157 public health events across the Americas, the organization said.

Advancing economic and national security

USDA h5n1
The USDA H5N1 dashboard. The virus is just one of many PAHO tracks and coordinates reposnse to across the Western Hemisphere.

The issue of health security is largely a bipartisan one. Signatories of the open letter supporting PAHO point to how its programs protect American “troops and diplomats stationed throughout the hemisphere,” and Americans studying abroad and travelling.

“It keeps American markets open for business,” it states. “A US withdrawal from PAHO would not leave a vacuum; it would leave an opening that strategic competitors are prepared to fill.”

While the US has historically had strong bilateral relationships with countries in the region on health issues, these relationships depended on regional offices staffed by USAID, CDC, PEPFAR, and even the US Navy to promote cooperation across borders.

Yet, “there are no longer USAID missions, and the future of the CDC country and regional offices is unclear,” Bliss pointed out. Without these key US presences in the region, PAHO is the only organization still able to bring countries together on health security issues.

If the US were to leave PAHO, it would be important to consider how difficult it would be to engage at a regional level on health and what it would take to put an alternative platform for communication and cooperation in place,” Bliss said.

Despite the financial pressures, PAHO remains confident it can continue performing its core operations throughout the Americas. When asked about diversifying funding, the organization pointed to strengthened partnerships with Canada, Spain, the EU, the US CDC, the World Bank, and philanthropic groups, among others.

In a statement, PAHO did note it “continues to encourage all Member States with outstanding contributions to fulfill their commitments.”

“The world is uniquely dangerous biologically right now. It is not the time to disengage from PAHO,” Simonson said.

Image Credits: S. Samantaroy, The White House, Friends of PAHO, Voice of America (VOA), PAHO/WHO, PAHO/WHO, WHO/PAHO, USDA.

Cases and deaths continue to pile up at record speed as local and continental authorities race to get the ongoing DRC Ebola outbreak under control.

More than 3,000 people have died in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak out of 6,250 confirmed cases, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) said Thursday, as the virus kills nearly half of those it infects and outpaces efforts to contain it.

“The numbers are telling the story,” Dr Wesam Mankula, lead of the Continental Incident Management Support Team, told reporters at Africa CDC’s weekly briefing. “This outbreak is still evolving.”

At 16 weeks, the epidemic has spread over an area larger than the United Kingdom, France, and more than 35 African states. It is already the second largest Ebola outbreak in DRC’s history, and is on track to be the largest on record, with 6.5 times the caseload that the 2014 West Africa epidemic had at the same stage.

Africa CDC reports that 89% of listed contacts are being followed up, but Mankula acknowledged the number of contacts actually being identified per case falls well short of the target.

Each confirmed patient should generate a list of 40 to 60 people they may have exposed, but most lists are far shorter, meaning the vast majority of potential contacts are never traced. Adjusted for that shortfall, the effective contact tracing rate drops to just 19%, Mankula said.

Reported cases and deaths at the 16-week mark compared with previous Ebola outbreaks. The current epidemic dwarfs all others in recorded history, sitting at 6.5× more cases and 5.0× more deaths than the next-highest comparator at the same point.

Without adequate tracing, many patients are never identified until it is too late. That tracing shortfall continues to play out in affected provinces, with more than 60% of deaths in the past seven days occurring in the community, with people dying before they could be reached and referred to treatment.

“This is highlighting the importance of pushing more community health workers, senior experts from the surveillance focusing on case investigation, to improve contact listing and contact tracing,” Mankula said. “Hopefully, with pushing more community health workers, we can see improvement in the community tracing.”

Weekly confirmed cases peaked at 537 during the week of 10 August and have since dipped to 464 and 479, a 12% decline Mankula called a “plateau phase,” though he cautioned a similar plateau in June was followed by a surge.

Four health zones have gone more than 42 days without new infections, the established international benchmark for interrupted transmission, and five more are in a control phase. But 51 health zones still have active transmission, and each infected person is still passing the virus to more than one other on average, meaning the outbreak continues to grow.

“It’s very still very early to say we brought this outbreak under control,” Mankula said.

The epidemic migrates into a warzone

Nearly half of those infected by the Bundibugyo strain have died. Chart shows cumulative cases and deaths from May 15 to 1 September, the latest data available.

Cases in Ituri province, the epicentre with more than 5,100 infections, fell 12% over the most recent three-week window. But as the outbreak appears to settle in Ituri, caseloads are accelerating elsewhere, Africa CDC officials said.

North Kivu, where armed groups including M23 have displaced millions in an ongoing civil war, saw cases more than double and deaths rise 98% in the same period, with the highest case fatality rate of any affected province at 67.7%.

Further north, in the remote and densely forested provinces of Haut-Uélé and Bas-Uélé bordering South Sudan and the Central African Republic, cases are surging too. Haut-Uélé cases nearly tripled in the most recent three-week window, and Bas-Uélé, the sixth province to be affected, is now reporting cases for the first time.

The conflict has made some health zones inaccessible to international and government responders, as communities and armed groups refuse entry. Mankula said responders urgently need negotiated humanitarian corridors in order “to do their function, moving from one place to another, support active case search, contact identification, contact isolation, infection prevention control measures, expanding Ebola treatment centres in those affected zones.”

Health workers in the crossfire

Violence Against Ebola Responders Mounts in DRC as Red Cross Condemns Attacks

Forty-seven healthcare workers have died from the virus out of 163 infected, according to Africa CDC briefing data presented Wednesday, up from the 43 deaths reported last week.

Beyond the virus, workers face direct violence: the Red Cross has documented 11 violent incidents in the first 100 days of the outbreak, with volunteers attacked and ambulances set on fire by communities fuelled by mistrust and misinformation. Eight health workers have been killed in attacks as of 22 August, according to the UN’s senior Ebola coordinator.

Health workers risking infection and violent assault have also faced months of delayed or missing pay, triggering repeated strikes since July. Asked about the delays, Prof Yap Boum, Africa CDC’s field manager in DRC, said the government had begun registering and paying workers in Bunya and Rampara.

“It’s been a while since you have not heard about those strikes because the government have done two things,” Boum said. “One is to ensure that they can register the staff that are working, but also starting to pay them… at least all those that were working in treatment centre.”

Boum said he expected payments to be completed by next week. Payment disputes have been a persistent obstacle to the response, and aid agencies have warned that sustained, timely compensation for frontline workers is essential to maintaining the workforce needed to contain the outbreak.

Vaccines and therapeutics in the pipeline

DRC Minister of Health Dr Roger Kamba (centre) receives the first consignment of the Ervebo vaccine at N’djili International Airport in Kinshasa on 21 August.

No licensed vaccine or treatment exists for the Bundibugyo strain of the virus, leaving health workers and communities without the protection that helped bring previous Zaire Ebola outbreaks under control. Authorities are fast-tracking several candidates through clinical trials to try to close that gap, Africa CDC said.

The Ervebo vaccine, effective against Zaire, is being deployed to frontline workers under compassionate use despite unproven efficacy against Bundibugyo. More than 1,100 healthcare workers have received it so far, and a solidarity trial is expected to begin in DRC within a week, Africa CDC reported.

“The vaccine Ervebo is effective for the Zaire strain, but its efficacy against the recent strain, the Bundibugyo, has not been demonstrated yet,” said Prof Placid Mbala, Africa CDC’s Director of Research. “But we believe that we may see some cross-protection… this is why we are using the Ervebo vaccine mostly to also evaluate the impact of this vaccine during this outbreak, and also to conduct a kind of vaccine effectiveness and efficacy study in the field.”

Phase one trials for vaccine candidates from Shaddock and Moderna are underway in the UK and Canada respectively, and Egypt’s Mina Pharma has received $16.5 million from CEPI to advance its own candidate.

Two therapeutic trials are also progressing, Mbala said. A post-exposure prophylaxis trial, which is testing whether drugs given to contacts of confirmed cases can prevent them from developing the disease, has recruited 216 of a 400-person target. If effective, they would become a vital tool in slowing transmission by protecting people before they can be infected.

A separate trial testing remdesivir and monoclonal antibodies in confirmed patients has enrolled 334 of 500. About 35 participants have so far reached the 28-day mark at which initial analysis can begin, with the first readouts expected by mid-September.

“But I think with the first 100 participants, we won’t be able to see the efficacy of these different drugs,” Mbala said. The trial’s safety monitoring board will then determine whether to continue recruitment toward the full 500 or add further therapeutics.

“It’s an adaptive protocol,” Mbala added. “We may add more therapeutics when they can be available.”

Image Credits: MSF, DRC Health Ministry.

The odds of El Niño persisting until February 2027 are near certain, according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

Countries around the world face higher risks of extreme weather events like floods, droughts and extreme heat as the ongoing El Niño intensifies and extends, with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) now assessing it will become the strongest in history.

In its latest update, WMO assessed with 100% certainty that El Niño — the result of warming ocean temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific that affect weather extremes globally – will persist through February 2027, instead of the earlier projection of November 2026.

“El Niño is being supersized before our eyes. The science leaves no room for doubt: the planet is in uncharted waters, and those waters are heating up,” said United Nations Secretary General António Guterres. “Sea surface temperatures are rising, temperatures keep climbing, and the world is in the danger zone of extreme weather.”

This is also the first time that a WMO El Niño and La Niña update has been so unequivocal, reflecting the strong agreement within WMO’s extensive network.

WMO’s update comes on the heels of devastating floods in Nepal that killed over 1,000 people. While El Niño is not linked to climate change, combined with the extreme weather events that climate change is already bringing, El Niño stands to compound the damage.

“The race now is between rising risks and our commitment to take climate action and protect people,” Guterres said. “We must win that race.”

Also read: Nepal’s Flood: Chilling Example of Climate Devastation Facing Developing Countries

2026 could surpass 2024 as the hottest year on record

Celeste Saulo, WMO Secretary-General

While both El Niño and La Niña occur naturally, the intensity of these phenomena can bring staggering devastation.

“El Niño in Spanish means boy child – but it has the potential to deliver a massive blow to communities and economies across the world. We are already seeing disruption and devastation from droughts and floods, and we expect these impacts to increase as El Niño intensifies,” said WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo.

She explained that the El Niño in the year 2023-24 resulted in 2024 being the hottest on record. The current El Niño could do something similar for the year 2026, Saulo said.

“This exceptional El Niño demands exceptional preparation and response. Never before in the 50-year history of the World Meteorological Organization have we launched such a major mobilization with National Meteorological and Hydrological Services who are on the frontline of delivering the forecasts and services to save lives and livelihoods,” Saulo said.

Exceptional ocean heat in the tropical Pacific 

Above-average temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean cause El Niño.

Sea surface temperatures across the central-eastern equatorial Pacific, the region at the heart of El Niño, are already well above average – one of the tell-tale signs of El Niño – and are continuing to rise.

The widely used Niño 3.4 index, which measures sea surface temperature anomalies in the central-eastern equatorial Pacific, has strengthened markedly from an average of +1.5 °C above normal during May-July 2026 and +2.0 °C above normal in July.

Weekly values subsequently increased further between late July and mid-August, ranging from approximately +2.2 °C to +2.6 °C above average, indicating continued intensification.

Even more exceptional warmth is present below the ocean surface. In some areas, subsurface ocean temperatures were more than 8°C above average during July and early August.

Altogether, the surface and subsurface ocean conditions provide strong support for continued El Niño conditions and the potential for further strengthening during the coming months, the Update says.

Different impacts in different places

A very strong El Niño event increases the likelihood of major changes in rainfall, temperatures and atmospheric circulation across many regions of the world.

However, the strength of an El Niño event alone does not determine how severe its impacts will be in any individual country or region. Its effects vary according to location and season and can be modified by other climate drivers, including conditions in the Indian and Atlantic Oceans.

WMO said while extreme weather events are a certainty, it doesn’t have to mean destruction if countries prepare in advance and invest in early warning systems.

“WMO is committed to working closely with partners across the United Nations and humanitarian system to provide the climate intelligence and insights needed to support disaster management and climate-sensitive sectors like agriculture, health, energy and water resources,” Saulo said.  “We have no time to lose.”

Image Credits: WMO, WMO.

The Global Fund’s board is searching for a replacement for current executive director Peter Sands (right), but concerns have been raised that its process has lacked transparency.

Over the past week, the race for the next World Health Organisation (WHO) Director-General has started to take shape. Governments have publicly put forward prospective candidates, WHO is already listing them on a website, and some candidates are beginning to make their case publicly. Dr Hans Kluge has even released a manifesto laying out how he would lead the organization.

And this is happening many months before the decision. WHO nominations do not even close until 24 September. The official candidate list will be published after the nomination period closes, followed by the first candidate web forum on 18 November, Executive Board consideration in January, another candidate forum in March, and finally the World Health Assembly vote in May of 2027. It is a long process, but it gives people time to hear the ideas, debate them and understand what each candidate actually wants to do with WHO.

Meanwhile, The Global Fund, also in search of a new leader, has taken a very different approach. Rather than having candidates make their interest known publicly, the process will produce a pre-vetted shortlist of “four or five candidates” that is expected to reach its board in late September, just a month before it votes on 28-30 October.  

That one-month timetable leaves little room for the broader global health community to hear directly from the candidates or assess competing visions for the institution at a particularly consequential moment.

Concerns about transparency

Concerns about the transparency of the selection process were raised earlier this year by Sascha van Beek, a German parliamentarian, who questioned whether the process was sufficiently open and accountable. I too argued that The Global Fund is too important to treat this as just another executive search.

The stakes are difficult to overstate. Since its creation in 2002, the Global Fund partnership has helped save 70 million lives and reduce the combined death rate from AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria by 63%. In 2024 alone, 25.6 million people were receiving antiretroviral therapy in countries where it invests, 7.4 million people were treated for tuberculosis and 162 million insecticide-treated mosquito nets were distributed. With nearly $70 billion disbursed across more than 100 countries, the choice of its next leader will shape disease programs and health systems around the world.

Yet in July 2026, the Global Fund confirmed that the executive director selection process would continue as planned and on its existing timetable. As we wait for the Fund to announce the candidates, there is still an opportunity to open the process further. Doing so would not require reopening the search or delaying the board’s decision.

Public candidate forum

One way to do that is to hold a public candidate forum in October, with both in-person and virtual participation. It should be moderated by someone who understands the Fund and the different constituencies that make up its partnership. A forum would give more stakeholders with a vested interest in the Fund a substantive role before the board makes its decision.

A forum would also force candidates to address the questions the Fund will face over the next decade. How should it approach new forms of financing? What role should artificial intelligence play? How should it support greater country ownership in the era of the Accra Reset? And what reforms will be needed as the global health landscape changes?

The Global Fund can reasonably argue that its process already includes opportunities for engagement. Once the final shortlist is submitted in late September, candidates will attend a board retreat and then meet with board constituencies before the vote on 28-30 October. 

The board itself is unusually representative, with 20 voting seats divided equally between donor and implementer constituencies. Governments, civil society, communities affected by the three diseases, the private sector and foundations all have a formal role. That structure remains one of the Fund’s greatest strengths.

But board engagement should not be the limit of the process. Board members are responsible for selecting the executive director, and that authority should remain with them. This is a public-interest decision, and greater openness can strengthen confidence in the Fund while building broader buy-in among donors, implementers, civil society and the communities it serves. 

The Global Fund’s own description of the job reinforces that point. The executive director is not simply managing the Secretariat. The person will be responsible for leading the institution through a period of major political and financial change.

There is also an important precedent. Following concerns about the selection of its Director-General, WHO substantially revised its process ahead of the 2017 election. It introduced a code of conduct and candidate forums, with parts of the process made available to the public. 

WHO made the deliberate choice to create more space for candidates to explain how they would lead the organization and for member states and the wider community to hear from them before the election.

The Fund describes itself not simply as an organization governed by a Board, but as a “worldwide partnership” of governments, communities, civil society, technical agencies and the private sector. A public candidate forum would be a simple way to put that principle into practice.

Former Global Fund Board Member Jirair Ratevosian calls for transparency.

Dr Jirair Ratevosian is a Research Scholar at the Duke Global Health Institute. He previously served on the board of the Global Fund. Past positions include acting chief of staff for PEPFAR, corporate social responsibility director for Gilead Sciences, and legislative director to US Congresswoman Barbara Lee. He holds a doctoral degree from Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, an MPH from Boston University, and a BSc from the University of California, Los Angeles.

Image Credits: Global Fund , Milken Institue.

The world has missed its 1.5ºC target. The fight now turns to how far temperatures rise beyond it — and what can still be done to bring them back down.

The world has failed to meet the Paris Agreement target of limiting global warming to 1.5ºC, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) declared on Wednesday.

In a sprawling 141-page report, UNEP found there is no realistic pathway to prevent warming from exceeding the threshold. “The most stringent emission reduction pathways that were available around the time of the Paris Agreement are no longer feasible,” it states.

The finding is the first by a UN agency to treat the 1.5ºC target as no longer within reach – and the math doesn’t give its authors much choice. To stay under 1.5ºC, total emissions from 2026 onward cannot exceed 130 billion tonnes of CO2. With current emissions at roughly 40 billion tonnes per year and still rising, that restriction will be breached in just three years.

“Despite decades of scientific warnings, despite the growing scientific evidence, the resulting climate commitments have not produced sufficiently rapid emission reductions,” said Debra Roberts, a lead author and former co-chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group II. “Exceeding 1.5ºC is now unavoidable.”

The report identifies just one pathway that would keep the world within its remaining carbon budget: global CO₂ emissions would have to fall steadily from 2025 to zero by 2031. Under current policies, the world is headed for 2.6C by century’s end.

“All of our pathways forward are overshoot pathways,” Roberts added. “We are clearly entering uncharted territory.”

With limiting the peak and length of the overshoot the last remaining option, UNEP is blunt: “This is by no means an acceptable or preferred pathway. It is simply the best remaining option.”

‘No good options’ above 1.5ºC

UNEP Executive Director Inger Andersen addresses reporters ahead of the report’s launch.

While scientific projections have long assessed that remaining beneath this threshold would be impossible on current emissions trajectories, the change in language by UNEP is an historic break in climate diplomacy from the hope of Paris to the ongoing deadlock over the phase-out of fossil fuels set to continue in November at COP31.

UNEP Executive Director Inger Andersen, launching the findings at the end of a summer that saw Arctic temperatures soar to 32ºC, wildfires scorch Europe and the Americas, and sea-level rise threaten hundreds of millions of coastal residents, said the evidence demands immediate action.

“Across the globe, extreme heat waves are already proving that climate change impacts will strike faster, hit harder, and last longer, costing more lives and causing deeper disruption,” Andersen said. “Obviously, we have climate procrastinated.” 

Crossing the 1.5ºC mark would bring an “intensification of extreme weather,” loss of small island states, and growing risks to human health, food and water security. “There are no good outcomes if we remain above 1.5ºC,” she said.

With human-induced warming already nearing 1.4C and rising at around a quarter degree per decade, the World Meteorological Organization forecasts a three-in-four chance the 2026–2030 five-year mean will breach the Paris target.

At current levels, roughly every five years of delay adds at least a tenth of a degree of global warming to the maximum level we will experience.

“The future will bring many unknowns, but we do know that decisions taken now and in the next few years will determine if we have a chance of returning to 1.5ºC or below,” Andersen said.

The report is the first in a series of major assessments in the run-up to the UN climate summit, COP31, in Antalya, Turkey, in November, where governments will again confront a deadlock over how quickly to phase out fossil fuels. 

For some observers, the report’s relative silence on the fuels driving the crisis – mentioned in passing just once in nearly 150 pages – is all the more striking as COP31 approaches.

“Although UNEP does a good job of describing the hole we’ve dug ourselves into, it does a poor job of showing us that there is a way out,” said Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, noting that the report only makes only a single passive reference to phasing out fossil fuels.

“Ultimately the report’s neglect of some fundamentally important mitigation analysis risks turning it into a call to apathy rather than a call to arms,” Hare said.

Fire, water, ice

The planet’s frozen water is rapidly disappearing, threatening sea levels, freshwater supplies and climate stability.

The report lands as the latest warning of the upheaval climate change is causing globally, and how much worse it might get.

New threats to human health are already emerging. Rising temperatures are shifting vector-borne diseases to higher latitudes, increasing pathogen spillover risk, the report found. Food production could fall by 14% by 2050 under a high-emissions scenario, putting tens to hundreds of millions, concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia and Central America, at risk of malnutrition. 

Heat-related deaths during a 2025 European heatwave tripled, an increase attributed to global warming. Deadly heat seasons once expected every 100 years now arrive every 10 to 20 years. More than five billion people are projected to experience at least a month of extreme heat every year by 2050.

Critical environmental systems that regulate the climate – storing carbon in forests, soils and frozen ground, or reflecting sunlight back into space – are also at risk of irreversible damage.

Parts of the Western Antarctic Ice Sheet may already have crossed thresholds for irreversible ice loss. More than 40% of total global glacier loss since the 1970s has occurred in just the last decade, with global peak glacier extinction possible as early as 2041. 

More than 80% of tropical coral reefs bleached between 2023 and 2025, with warm-water corals now facing heat stress on a near-annual basis and “a low possibility” of surviving this century under any scenario. Essential carbon sinks like rainforests are facing die-off scenarios, with nearly 40% of the Amazon’s surface area at risk of disappearing by 2100.

As damage mounts, returning to 1.5ºC – a major effort calculated in decades in a best-case scenario – does not constitute a rewind, the report stresses. Even if temperatures eventually fall, sea levels will continue rising, species driven to extinction will not return, and carbon released from thawing permafrost cannot simply be recovered. Ecosystems that collapse during overshoot cannot easily reassemble as temperatures fall. 

“The loss of biodiversity will weaken natural systems on which our lives and livelihoods depend, and will impact our ability to withdraw carbon from the atmosphere,” said Roberts. “Returning to 1.5ºC doesn’t mean we return to the same world we left,” Roberts added. 

‘Collapse of habitability’ on low-lying islands 

Small developing island states are highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change and rely on universal diplomatic processes to ensure they hold equal weight to major global powers.
Small developing island states are very vulnerable to the effects of climate change and rely on universal diplomatic processes to ensure they hold equal weight to major global powers.

For small island developing states, the stakes are ones of life and death. The five to 10 centimetres of sea-level rise expected by 2050 is projected to double flooding across the Indian Ocean and tropical Pacific, supercharging storm surges, turning freshwater salty, and pushing floods deeper inland than at any point in history.

For these nations, “the collapse of habitability has already begun,” the report warns. 

“This report is a fork-in-the-road moment for the planet. It is hard to overstate the depth of emotion for those of us living on the frontline after having fought so hard to put the 1.5 degree limit at the heart of the Paris Agreement,” said Palau President Surangel Whipps Jr. “It is a further glimpse into a perilous future that has already arrived.” 

“We need to see an urgent and unprecedented increase in political will and investment in a climate-safe future,” Whipps added. “Nobody can read this report and conclude otherwise.”

For these low-lying nations, the threat is already here. But the consequences of remaining above 1.5ºC for an extended period will ultimately reach far beyond their shores. 

UNEP warns prolonged warming raises the risk of triggering irreversible tipping points in global systems, including the West Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets, the Amazon rainforest and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, or AMOC, a vital system of ocean currents that helps regulate temperatures across the Atlantic and Europe. 

Such changes could, the report warns, “reshape the world forever.”

“Exceedance of 1.5°C should not be interpreted as safe or acceptable,” it states. Even if a return to below 1.5°C is secured — an outcome the report describes as “deeply uncertain” — “many nations and communities will face irreversible losses and permanently changed conditions.”

The 1.8ºC ceiling

Under UNEP’s most optimistic scenario – full implementation of all national climate plans plus all net-zero pledges – peak warming still reaches approximately 1.8C. Getting there requires roughly halving global emissions by 2035.

“We’re really looking at 1.8ºC as being the kind of maximum, because the feasibility of the responses then becomes really, really questionable,” Roberts said. “You get a cascading effect from all the irreversible changes.”

Wildfires weaken forest carbon stocks, drought reduces hydropower, heat degrades solar panel efficiency, and rising temperatures drive methane emissions from wetlands, eroding the systems the world would depend on to reverse warming.

A decade of warming at the current rate, the report finds, could take 50 years to reverse even under optimistic assumptions. The lead for reducing emissions should fall on countries with “greater historical responsibility for climate change and capability to address it should act the hardest and fastest,” the report states.

That tension – and the point advanced in the report that many advanced economies will need to go beyond net-zero to achieve net-negative emissions – is likely to resurface at COP31 in Antalya, Turkey, later this year, as oil-producing and high-income states fight calls to phase out fossil fuels. 

“This summer’s scorching heat, raging wildfires and deadly floods are a warning of what lies ahead,” UN Secretary-General António Guterres said. “We must make the overshoot above 1.5 degrees as small and short as possible. That demands an overshoot of ambition.”

Image Credits: Chris LeBoutiller, USGS, Unsplash/Ernests Vaga.

Women survivors of brutal violence in South Sudan share their stories with UN Deputy Secretary-General Amina Mohammed in 2018. Human rights groups warn that religion, culture and tradition are being ‘weaponised’ to undermine women’s rights.

A draft charter on “family, sovereignty and values”, which would significantly undermine the rights of African women and girls, is not likely to be presented to the African Union (AU) General Assembly next February – despite a push from its conservative sponsors.

“That draft instrument has not got to the AU yet, and it is important to state categorically that it was not proposed by the African Union,” said ⁠Dr Robert Eno, Registrar of the AU’s African Court on Human and Peoples’ Rights.

“I’ve checked with my colleagues [at the AU headquarters] in Addis Ababa, and they have not received it. It is not scheduled,” Eno told a recent webinar organised by Sexual Health with Equity & Rights (SHE & Rights) on countering anti-rights efforts.

“I can assure you that, if it goes to the AU, it will not go straight to the Assembly. There is a process, and it’s a very long process,” said Eno.

The draft charter will undermine one of the few continental treaties that protects women’s rights and promotes gender equality, known as the Maputo Protocol

The Maputo Protocol, which has been ratified by 46 of the continent’s 54 countries, commits to eliminating “all forms of discrimination against women”, including “harmful cultural and traditional practices”such as female genital mutilation and child marriage.

It also allows for abortion “in cases of sexual assault, rape, incest, and where the continued pregnancy endangers the mental and physical health of the mother or the life of the mother or the foetus”.

Gender equality ‘strengthens families’

The draft was developed over four annual gatherings of conservatives, three hosted by the Ugandan government and the fourth hosted by Ghana’s parliament in June.

These events have been supported by international right-wing governments and organisations, including the far-right United States group, Family Watch International (FWI) and the Russian government.

Members of Parliament from approximately 20 countries attended the conference in Ghana where the draft was presented, but that meeting has no legal status. 

Eno urged human rights organisations to “resist the temptation to answer anti-rights narratives simply with more legal language, more technical terminology, or stronger denunciations”.

Instead, said Eno, “our response must offer an alternative, and importantly, a better alternative, and to persuade people that advancing the rights to health and gender equality does not threaten the family, society, culture, or religion. 

“On the contrary, it strengthens families, protects communities, and promotes the well-being and dignity of all members of society.”

⁠Dr Robert Eno, Registrar of the AU’s African Court on Human and Peoples’ Rights, addressing the webinar.

‘Weaponising religion, culture, and tradition’

Samah Hadid, the global executive director of Musawah, told the webinar that the anti-rights movement is “weaponising and misusing religion, culture, and tradition to justify gender discrimination and injustice” and “evade compliance with human rights treaties and frameworks”. 

Her organisation promotes equality and justice in the Muslim family and advances human rights for women living in Muslim contexts.

But, said Hadid, attacks on women’s rights and their health rights are intensifying because “the anti-rights movement and these forces behind them are more coordinated; they’re more resourced”.

⁠Rehema Namukose, Musawah’s senior regional programme officer for sub-Saharan Africa, said that, across Africa, “family values are used to justify harmful practices”. 

In Somalia, for example, girls who have been raped are often forced to marry their rapists to save their family’s “honour”. Several countries also justify the economic and social subordination of women. 

Namukose said many grassroots groups are “so discouraged” by how anti-rights groups have used legislation to curb rights.

Laws that push for “homophobic family protection legislation move at a high speed, while laws that advance gender equality are being stalled,” Namukose said, with Uganda, Ghana and Senegal all passing anti-LGBTQ laws at record speed in the past year.

Human rights defenders protest against Uganda’s anti-LGBTQ law.

‘Family protection to justify exclusion’

Fatou Bintou Sallah from the Initiative for Strategic Litigation in Africa (ISLA) said that the draft charter uses family protection to justify exclusion; sovereignty to resist accountability; and culture and values to limit equality protections. 

Sallah, a former magistrate in Gambia, said that “the legal question is what the charter makes ideas [of family, sovereignty and values] do to existing rights and obligations”. 

For example, the charter’s narrow definition of “family” as a marriage between a man and a woman and their children, “matters because family recognition affects inheritance,  housing, custody, migration status, social protection, and legal recognition before the state”.

Sallah added: “If national law defines family narrowly, then protections linked to family can also become narrow. That can affect women-headed households, extended family networks, unmarried women, children, LGBTQ persons, and others who do not fit the preferred model by the state.”

Fate of rural girls

⁠Vimbai Kapurura, the executive director of Girls Not Brides in Eswatini, said that while her country has made progress in reducing teenage motherhood, the rate is still high in rural and poor households.

“The unmet contraceptive need in sexually active girls between the ages of 15 and 19 is 46%,” said Kapurura.

Eswatini faces its Universal Periodic Review (UPR) this November. This United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) peer-review mechanism assesses the human rights performance of all 193 UN Member States every 4.5 years. Governments and civil society submit reports to the UNHRC, and the review takes place at a meeting between the member state and the UNHRC working group in Geneva.

Kapurura said the UPR offered the opportunity to “pause and ask what has changed, who is experiencing that change, who is still being left behind, and are the rural girls experiencing the same progress?”

Kapurura added that her organisation engages men “as allies and partners”.

“If we are really serious about gender equality, sustainability can’t come from women and girls alone. Men are part of families. They are part of communities. They are part of the institutions and systems,” she stressed.

“They have a critical role to play, not just in speaking over women and girls, and not in taking over feminist spaces, but in standing alongside women and girls and helping transform the attitudes, the behaviours, and systems that sustain inequality.”

Image Credits: Isaac Billy/ UN Photo, Peter Tatchwell Foundation.

Namibian officials spoke on behalf of the African region at the World Health Organization (WHO) negotiations on pathogen-sharing in March. The terms of the US bilateral agreement undermine these talks.

Namibia has rejected the United States’ demands for sharing health data and pathogen information during negotiations for renewed US support for its HIV programme, according to The Namibian newspaper.

In the past few years, the country has received around $45 million a year in support from the US President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), and a total of over $1 billion since 2003.

However, the Trump administration is replacing PEPFAR and other health grants with new bilateral agreements in terms of its America First Global Health Strategy. These focus on countries’ ability to contain disease outbreaks as well as support for HIV and other key health programmes.

US demands for data and sharing of pathogen information have run into headwinds in other African countries.

Zimbabwe and Ghana have also rejected the US data- and pathogen-sharing demands, while the memorandums of understanding (MOUs) that the US has reached with Kenya and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) both face legal challenges from civil society groups.

Undermining PABS?

World Health Organization (WHO) member states are currently in sensitive talks about how to share information about dangerous pathogens, and any medical products that arise from this sharing. 

The pathogen access and benefit-sharing (PABS) system is the last outstanding piece of the Pandemic Agreement, and Namibia has played a central role in representing the African region at the talks.

However, the US withdrew from the WHO when Donald Trump assumed the presidency in January 2025, and its bilateral health agreements, which demand access to pathogen information without guaranteeing that any benefits will be shared, are a direct challenge to a WHO PABS system.

The Namibian government is concerned that the data- and pathogen-sharing demands do not comply with its laws, infringing both constitutional privacy rights and national sovereignty over biological resources, according to the newspaper.

The government is concerned that the US demands contravene its Access to Biological and Generic Resources and Associated Knowledge Act and its Public and Environmental Health Act.

The talks are ongoing, but the loss of $45 million will affect the employment of health workers and the delivery of services. The Namibian

Flood flattened nearly everything in its way, leaving only a few homes still standing in Betrawati, Rasuwa. Many of these homes are filled with debris and in some cases, with dead bodies of those trapped inside.

KATHMANDU – Shekhar Lamichhane is grieving even as he struggles to breathe. The 65-year-old asthma patient needs oxygen support. Some of his family members, including siblings, were swept away in Nepal’s flash flood on 26 August when glacial ice and rock slammed into the valley below near the Nepal–China border.

“I am on oxygen support. I have severe asthma and the electricity has been gone since the flood. I am struggling to breathe without support,” Lamichhane said.

The flash flood carrying rocks and debris gushed through the Nepal–Tibet border into northern Nepal. By Tuesday (1 September), over 1003 people were reported dead, and nearly 4,000 were missing.

“The sudden glacial collapse and flash flood is a devastating reminder of how fragile these mountain environments can be, particularly in the Hindu Kush Himalayas. For years, scientists and local communities have been warning that the Hindu Kush Himalayas are at huge risk from climate change,” said Simon Stiell, executive secretary of UN Climate Change, in the aftermath of the floods.

Nepal – a classic example of what developing nations face

Nepal is the classic example of what climate scientists have been warning of: small nations facing disproportionate climate impacts despite contributing the least to climate change.

In 2024, Nepal emitted around 0.05% of the world’s CO2 emissions, according to Our World in Data, based at Oxford University.

Nestled in the pristine and fragile Himalayas, Nepal gets nearly all of its electricity from hydropower, and a fraction from solar and wind.

Black carbon, the fine particles that remain after incomplete combustion of fuels, is a regional problem, though. Black carbon concentrations have increased by approximately 7.74% since 2000, according to a report by Climate Trends. This has contributed to faster warming of the Himalayan glaciers.

A trail of destruction

Shekhar Lamichhane charging his electric plug-in oxygen support device on the terrace of a house in Kalikasthan, Rasuwa. After days of without oxygen support Lamichhane was able to use his oxygen support to ease his Asthma.

Preliminary estimates by scientists suggest that the enormous mass of bedrock and glacier ice broke off a slope north of Langtang Lirung and slammed into the valley about 4,000 feet (1,200 meters) below – a distance roughly three times the height of the Eiffel Tower.

The debris fell into the Lhende River, which flows from Tibet into Nepal, sending floodwater and debris surging downstream.

“This was an unprecedented and unexpected disaster. There was simply no detection and no time to issue a warning. The event was a sudden-onset hazard that could not be captured by conventional warning systems,” said Dr Farooq Azam, Senior Cryosphere Specialist and Intervention Manager at Nepal-based ICIMOD, a Nepal-based regional research organisation.

A rapid assessment of the disaster by a group of International scientists, published by HiRisk, agrees that, given the “rapid speed of the initial avalanche, warning time from conventional in-channel systems would have been minimal and likely insufficient for successful evacuation at the Nepal-China border checkpoint at Rasuwagadhi”.

However, they assert that further downstream, “with warning times of 10 minutes or more, comprehensive and well-capacitated systems could have saved a significant number of lives”.

The HiRisk report notes that, while early warning systems (EWS) focused on several glacial lakes in China were recently set up, no operational EWS were set up “for glacier-related hazards”.

They also point to “some pre-event indications that the ice surface sped up just prior to the event”, including that “meltwater had turned visibly brown by 24 August” and “some indication of a crack propagating into the surrounding bedrock slope in the days before the event”.

Seismic event

Satellite imagery shows the devastation in Syapru Besi, a mountain village in Rasuwa District, Nepal. Left: Post-event image taken on 27the of August and on the right is the pre-event image.

The ice and rock collapse from the glacier was so powerful that it caused seismic activity equivalent to a 5.2‑magnitude earthquake, according to the US Geological Survey at 8.37 am local time. Sediment and boulders moved rapidly through the Bhote Koshi and Trishuli river systems, flattening everything in its path.

According to the HiRisk report, satellite-based preliminary flood assessments show that “at least 68 bridges were hit, including 33 suspension bridges and 35 motorable bridges and 40 km of highway were washed away”.

“Open-access datasets indicate that 12,944 buildings are located within the floodplain, with structural heights up to 9 meters.”

Nepal struggles to coordinate relief efforts

Mud covers Nuwakot district in central-northern Nepal following devastating flash floods.

Nepal’s government is facing criticism for not accepting international assistance quickly enough – a delay some say hindered early rescue operations.

Government spokesperson Sasmit Pokharel rejected the claim. “We are in contact and discussion with countries through the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and we are constantly assessing the situation in the affected area,” Pokharel said during a press briefing on Monday.

He added that rescue teams from India, China, South Korea, and other countries are already on the ground supporting search-and-rescue operations.

“To avoid possible epidemics, a special medical team has been deployed with necessary medicines,” he said. “Children, women, and people with pre-existing health issues are prioritized.”

He also addressed public criticism over the handling of dead bodies. Due to limited space and technology, some unaccounted or unidentified bodies have been buried in Chitwan,  which has drawn concern from families and community members.

“We are only managing the body as per the law and science; the body is not destroyed,” Pokhrel said. “In the future, if relatives come forward to claim it, all doors are open, and either the body or its remains will be handed over through DNA matching.”

Before burial, DNA samples, fingerprints, and other necessary details are documented and securely stored, he added.

“But the solutions to global heating are equally clear, especially a faster global shift from fossil fuels to renewables and more investment in climate resilience,” he added.

Nepal disaster – a reminder for regional collaboration

Nepal’s share to global carbon emissions in 2024 when compared to China, United States, Europe and its neighbours India and China. Nepal emitted 0.05% of the world’s CO2 emissions in 2024.

The Hindu Kush Himalayan system spans multiple countries, many of them with ongoing border disputes, such as Pakistan-India and China-India. The flooding in Nepal highlights the need for regional collaboration that is currently missing.

Over the past five decades, the glaciers here have recorded negative mass for 89% of the observed years, according to data from ICIMOD, a Nepal-based regional research organisation.

Melting glaciers do not just have devastating consequences for mountain communities, but also for the downstream countries.

Early warning systems can save lives but have limits

WMO marked 75th year of its existence by making a push for countries to ramp up early warning systems as climate impacts intensify.

Stories are emerging of communities downstream where even the 15-minute warning from those hit hard upstream saved hundreds of lives. But scientists are sceptical.

“Early warning systems are being sold as the fix, but no siren can outrun a mountainside collapsing in seconds. The real failure sits upstream, in land-use decisions that pushed settlements and infrastructure onto riverbanks our ancestors deliberately avoided, and in a global economy still burning the fossil fuels that are cooking these glaciers from the inside out,” said Professor Anjal Prakash of FLAME University in India and an IPCC author.

“Every villager who watched that valley disappear paid for emissions decisions made thousands of kilometres away,” he added.

The UN’s Stiell also echoed a similar sentiment. “The solutions to global heating are equally clear, especially a faster global shift from fossil fuels to renewables and more investment in climate resilience.”

Back in Nepal, Lamichhane shelters on the terrace of a house just above Betrawati, one of the flooded towns. He has managed to charge his electric oxygen concentrator device with the help of relief workers who brought generator‑powered charging devices as the power is out.

Remembering how it felt when the floodwaters came, he said, “It was making a sound like a helicopter makes. It was like all clouds and dust running high in the sky. The river climbed up the mountains on both sides and took everything in its way.”

Image Credits: Manish Aryal, Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) situation report, UNICEF/Laxmi Prasad Ngakhusi, Our World in Data, WMO.

Violence, economic distress and funding cuts leave nearly a million people in the West Bank facing severe food insecurity, according to the WFP.
Violence, economic distress and funding cuts leave nearly a million people in the West Bank facing severe food insecurity, according to the World Food Programme.

Around 200,000 people in the Israeli-occupied West Bank will lose access to vital food aid from the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) due to funding cuts, exacerbating food insecurity. In the Gaza Strip, the nutrition and health crisis is set to worsen further due to a lack of medical supplies and sanitation, the World Health Organization (WHO) warns.

Over the past two years, the number of people affected by food insecurity in the West Bank has doubled to almost one million – over a quarter of the population, according to latest WFP data. Due to drastic funding shortfalls, the WFP is halving its aid to the 400,000 recipients starting in September, the organisation announced.

Already, 12% of the surveyed population suffer from inadequate food consumption, whilst a third of West Bank households can no longer afford a nutritious diet.

“Food may be available in the markets, but people simply cannot afford it,” said WFP Country Director Shaun Hughes, describing the crisis at a UN press briefing in Geneva on Tuesday.

In future, only the most needy families will receive cash support of around 50 shekels (under $20) per person per month. The cuts impact the provision of vouchers, food, livelihood support and nutritional aid for children and pregnant women.

Economic crisis and rising settler violence

WFP’s Shaun Hughes warns funding cuts deepen severe food insecurity.
WFP’s Shaun Hughes warns funding cuts deepen severe food insecurity.

The West Bank’s economy is in a deep economic crisis on two fronts simultaneously. Unemployment now stands at 30% after Israel closed its gates to most Palestinian workers following the 7 October 2023 Hamas-led massacre in Israel.

At the same time, the governing Palestinian Authority (PA) has been economically crippled by the refusal of Israel’s hardline government to transfer some $5 billion, to date, in import and customs taxes on goods entering the West Bank as it is legally obliged to do. Normally, such transfers make up about 70% of the PA’s budget, and the withheld funds are mostly earmarked for salaries, particularly for employees in healthcare and education. The PA, meanwhile, has also been plagued by widespread corruption, according to Freedom House, and immense public debt, estimated by the World Bank at $4.8 billion by the end of 2025.

According to WFP data, 76% of all West Bank households have thus experienced a significant decline in their income. Against that context, the WFP aid payments represent crucial safety nets for many recipients facing severe financial crisis in the conflict-ridden region.

However, Hughes also blames rising settler violence, Israeli military operations, roadblocks, and arbitrary house demolitions for exacerbating the situation.

“In my recent visits to the West Bank, I have witnessed families once thriving and earning a living off their land now forced from their homes, their livelihoods destroyed. They now find themselves in a chokehold,” he said.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu recently criticised violent acts in the West Bank as criminal and damaging to Israel’s standing in the world. But critics, including voices in the military, say that his government has failed entirely to show real muscle in reining in the increasingly violent and frequent settler rampages, leading to progressively greater limitations on Palestinian movement and access to their lands.

Health risks and acute food insecurity in the Gaza Strip

Stagnant water in Gaza’s makeshift camps fosters pest infestations, sharply increasing the risk of diarrhoeal diseases as food insecurity worsens.

In the Gaza Strip, too, the WFP cut cash assistance for 375,000 people by 40% back in July. To continue providing vital supplies in both areas, the organisation urgently needs an additional $386 million for the next six months, it said.

This massive funding shortfall threatens an already fragile situation on the ground. Although food deliveries have improved supplies since the October 2025 ceasefire, two-thirds of the population in the Gaza Strip continue to suffer from crisis and emergency levels of acute food insecurity. The UN-linked Integrated Food Security Classification (IPC) forecasts that high levels of acute food insecurity will affect up to 90% of the population by the end of the year if humanitarian aid is not sustained.

Indeed, chronic undernutrition has emerged as the primary challenge, according to a June survey of Gaza by UNICEF. While emergency aid stabilized acute malnutrition (wasting) at 1.3%, chronic malnutrition (stunting) now affects 12.2% of children under five. Dietary quality is also dismal: only 30.3% of children aged 6–23 months achieve minimum dietary diversity, and just 22.4% receive a minimum acceptable diet, leaving them highly vulnerable to developmental and cognitive impairments.

The nutrition crisis is compounded by catastrophic living conditions; some 94% of Gaza’s 2.1 million residents lack adequate shelter, and approximately 100,000 children and pregnant or lactating women remain in need of continuous nutritional aid.

Disease outbreaks loom amidst the destroyed infrastructure

WHO epidemiologist Reinhilde Van De Weerdt warns that contaminated water and severe medical shortages pose imminent disease threats to displaced populations in Gaza.
WHO epidemiologist Reinhilde Van De Weerdt warns that contaminated water and severe medical shortages pose imminent disease threats to displaced populations in Gaza.

After the searing heat of summer, winter rains will mean flooding in overcrowded tent cities, and that, “will spread the sewage, the waste and contaminated water into the places where people sleep, cook and care for their loved ones,” warned WHO epidemiologist Reinhilde Van De Weerdt at the UN briefing. Damp tents and mould also dramatically increase the risk of respiratory diseases, particularly among young children, she pointed out.

According to WHO data, microbiological contamination of tested water samples nearly tripled this year, rising from under 6% in January to almost 20% in August. As a result, cases of acute watery diarrhoea almost doubled from around 30,000 in March to over 58,000 recorded cases in August.

However, the WHO warns that the severely limited local laboratory capacity can currently only detect basic microbiological contaminants, meaning that further contamination remains undetected. Furthermore, stagnant water encourages the uncontrolled breeding of disease-carrying mosquitoes and pests.

Additionally, restrictive import licences have been blocking vital deliveries of medical supplies such as prosthetics and other medical aids since May 2024, according to the WHO. As a result, only 12% of those who lost limbs since the war began have been fitted with a prosthetic device, while more than 6,600 amputees in total require long-term care, said Van De Weerdt.

The WHO is calling for the accelerated import of medical supplies, including diagnostic laboratory materials for the rapid identification of viruses and bacteria. Without this equipment, the early detection and containment of potential disease outbreaks on the ground would be virtually impossible.

Israeli government pushes back against allegations

Responding to a query by Health Policy Watch, the Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT) stated that Israel exercises “heightened caution” regarding dual-use items due to the risk of exploitation by Hamas for military purposes, but stressed that these items are “not subject to a blanket prohibition.” The agency added that it coordinates a continuous response with UN agencies to facilitate alternative items, such as spare parts and engine oil, while fuel is brought into the Gaza Strip daily by UN agencies.

COGAT also strongly disputed claims of restrictive barriers on medical supplies, stating that “all medicines submitted for entry into the Gaza Strip are approved and cleared without restriction.” The agency maintained that advanced medical equipment – including X-ray machines, diagnostic devices, laboratory tools, and backup generators – was recently transferred to support international health facilities, including field hospitals operated by the Red Cross, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the International Medical Corps (IMC), and UK-Med.

Responding to concerns over water infrastructure, COGAT stated that Israel actively facilitates the entry of equipment and piping to repair and maintain water networks. According to the agency, a desalination facility in southern Gaza was recently repaired and connected to the “Kela” electricity line to increase water supply. It added that 10 major water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) projects were recently approved, allowing international organisations to import sewage pipes, fittings, engine oil, water storage equipment, and water quality testing kits.

The Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) did not respond to a query by Health Policy Watch.

See related story:

Most Gaza Palestinians Living in Dangerous, Unsanitary and Unhealthy Shelters

Image Credits: WFP/Claire Nevill, Felix Sassmannshausen/HPW, WHO.

Kenya’s President William Ruto applauds Kenyan Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio after they signed an MOU for health funding.

The United States plans to cut its health funding to 18 countries by 59% of pre-2025 levels by 2030, according to a Public Citizen and Partners In Health analysis of the bilateral agreements the US has signed with these countries.

The bilateral Memorandums of Understanding (MOUs) were signed as part of the ‘America First Global Health Strategy’ adopted by the Trump administration in 2025, and are intended to rapidly wean countries off US aid by 2030.

The reduction amounts to a cut of some $2 billion to US aid dispensed before 2025, according to Public Citizen, which analysed the MOUs – some of which it initially obtained via a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) lawsuit against the Trump administration.

Countries facing the steepest cuts are Rwanda (97% reduction), Liberia (84%), Burundi (78%), Madagascar (77%), and Sierra Leone (71%).

All MOUs require countries to make substantial co-financing commitments. These are for activities identified as priorities by the US, and do not necessarily align with the countries’ priorities. For example, the US wants all countries to improve their ability to identify disease outbreaks, so it requires substantial investment in epidemiologists and data capturers. But many recipient countries may prefer to prioritise employing health workers.

In 11 out of the 18 countries, the co-financing commitments fail to cover the US cuts over five years compared to pre-2025 government funding. 

“Countries may also struggle to meet these funding expectations,” says the analysis. “For example, Malawi would have to mobilize new funding equal to 56% of the country’s total health expenditure to meet its annualized co-financing commitment.”

Co-financing ‘punishment’

The US government also reserves the right to reduce or cease funding if countries don’t meet their co-financing commitments. In addition, the MOUs stipulate that the co-investments “may not include funding from other donors or multilateral organizations, but must be funds ‘raised directly’ by the country”, says Public Citizen and Partners In Health.

“There is no transparent logic guiding the application of penalties across countries,” their analysis notes.

If Ethiopia, Kenya, Mozambique, Cameroon, and Malawi fail to meet co-financing commitments, the US will reduce its funding by $1 for every $1 shortfall.

Uganda and Côte d’Ivoire face a 2:1 reduction. However, no penalties are specified in the MOUs with Rwanda, Liberia, Lesotho, Eswatini, Sierra Leone, Madagascar, Burundi, Botswana, and South Sudan.

Many of the MOUs also include “performance incentives” for meeting process and outbreak response metrics, but quantifying them is vague.

Seven African countries will have fewer health workers by 2030, thanks to reduced US and partner government commitments. These are Burundi, Cameroon, Eswatini, Kenya, Lesotho, Madagascar and Malawi.

“This is a major concern since the African region currently has only 46% of the health workers it needs, and by 2030 it is projected to face a health workforce shortage of 5.85 million workers,” the analysis notes.

Burundi will lose all US-funded community health workers (CHW). Malawi will lose 3,436 CHWs (72% of its total), and Madagascar, 8,200 (39%). 

Cameroon faces a 20% reduction in CHW and nurses despite already facing “a severe shortage” of both.

The one piece of good news is that the MOUs reduce the duration of controversial data-sharing and pathogen specimen-sharing agreements, which were initially for up to 25 years – despite the MOUs only lasting up to five years.

But “these agreements stand apart from the MOU itself, and most are not available in wider circulation, making a full assessment of final terms impossible in most cases”. 

Some countries have baulked at the data-sharing requirements, with Zimbabwe deciding not to pursue an MOU with the US.

Several countries point out that these data-sharing agreements, usually appendices to the MOUs, directly undermine the pathogen access and benefit-sharing (PABS) system currently being negotiated at the World Health Organization (WHO).

“These documents suggest that the Trump administration is on course to underspend on global health by billions of dollars compared to what Congress has ordered, risking lives and allowing diseases to spread,” said Peter Maybarduk, Access to Medicines director for Public Citizen.

“The administration must answer how and when it intends to invest the missing billions for health.”