Cash transfers
Dr Mona Hanna (left), director of Rx Kids, with two Flint parents who received the cash transfer.

In Flint, Michigan, mothers face some of the highest risks of adverse health outcomes in the United States. But a new intervention is changing the outlook of Flint babies for the better.

More than 10 years after the city uncovered devastating lead water contamination, Flint still struggles with the highest child poverty rate in the country – nearly 60%, which is triple the national average.

Dr Mona Hanna, a pediatrician who has spent her career tackling the persistent health disparities in Flint, knew this poverty impacted every aspect of her patients’ health: “Poverty is a pathogen. It is a root cause and social determinant of health. It makes kids and communities sick.”

Hanna now has a new prescription at her disposal: unconditional cash transfers to pregnant women and new mothers in the form of the organization, Rx Kids.

The program is offering a solution to alleviate poor maternal and child health: up to $7,500 in cash for new mothers with no strings attached. They can buy a crib, diapers, nasal spray for their baby’s runny nose. All pregnant mothers are eligible, making it the first community-wide prenatal and infant cash transfer in the US.

While cash transfers have enjoyed success in 140 countries, the US remains an outlier in investing in the most critical window of development during pregnancy and early infancy.

“As a society, we consistently under-invest in this window, which makes it really hard to have a healthy pregnancy and have a healthy newborn,” Hanna said in an interview with Health Policy Watch.

Michigan’s program joins a list of others, like those in Kenya, that show a direct correlation between cash transfers and improved birth outcomes.

“With global health budgets shrinking, we think directing cash to pregnant women is a cost-effective way to stretch those dollars and save more lives,” said Laura Keen, a program director at the non-profit GiveDirectly, which administers cash transfer programs.

Pregnancy and first year shape health for life

Rx Kids and other cash transfer initiatives have lasered in on resources for new and expectant mothers because of the outsized role the first year of life plays in a child’s health and development.

“Babies’ brains double in size in that first year of life,” said Hanna, who is also associate dean of public health at Michigan State University College of Human Medicine.

This means that babies’ exposure to poverty, undernutrition, or environmental chemicals in that critical window disproportionately impacts on their health into adulthood.

Conversely, a caring, low-stress environment, breastfeeding, and stable housing can all boost a person’s health across the life course.

Although this is the most critical window for development, it is also the most financially challenging for families. A 2020 study revealed that American family income drops sharply near the birth of a child, often because the mother leaves work without adequate family leave pay, and because costs rise for a baby’s needs.

Supporting pregnant women and new mothers can also benefit communities struggling with an overburdened healthcare system. A recently published study estimates that Flint could save up to $6.2 million each year based on fewer preterm births, underweight babies, and neonatal ICU (NICU) admissions.

The city of Flint has one of the highest child poverty rate in the US.

Cash infusion halves child mortality in Kenya

While the US has been struggling with domestic health funding cuts, notably Medicare, Medicaid, and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), overseas aid has also been crippled. The reverberations are already expected to threaten decades of global health progress, including for child and maternal health.

But a massive experiment in villages in Western Kenya found that cash could be as effective, if not more, than the typical aid interventions of bed-nets and malaria medications.

Starting in 2014, the same non-profit that facilitated Rx Kids gave $1,000 to over 10,000 households in Kenya after the birth of a child. This resulted in a reduction of almost 50% in infant mortality, from about 40 deaths per 1,000 births to 21 deaths.

The researchers tracked mortality in infants born to families who received the money and those born without. They found that access to cash increased the use of healthcare facilities, especially when families lived near clinics or hospitals.

Thus, the benefits of extra cash were most pronounced for families who could already access some form of healthcare. The researchers speculated that, like in Flint, new mothers struggled with having to work right up to or right after the birth of their child, which puts physical and mental strain on the mother.

“Despite not being the main aim of the original program, we show that unconditional cash transfers in this setting may be a cost-effective way to reduce infant and child deaths,” the authors write.

Outcomes for Flint babies and their mothers improved with the cash transfer.

Birth outcomes improve

Extra money for strollers, cribs, diapers, and transport to check-ups all relieves stress on expectant mothers, which can improve birth outcomes.

Flint babies are nearly twice as likely to have a low birth weight as the rest of the state, and have higher rates of preterm births.

However, a study measuring the effects of Rx Kids on preterm births, low birthweight, and NICU admissions in Flint over the past year, since the cash transfer program was implemented, found that it is already saving lives.

Using both Flint statistics and a comparison with matched cities, researchers found that Rx Kids was associated with a 2.7% decrease in the preterm birth rate and a 4.4% reduction in admissions to NICU.

The US struggles with poor birth outcomes and maternal mortality relative to other high-income nations. Cash transfers could help bridge this divide, noted Hanna.

“We don’t have to continuously react to poverty; we can prevent poverty, like in other countries,” she said.

Researchers hope to continue tracking the kids who received money for things like gun violence, poverty, and educational success.

Evidence for success in the US

This is the first community-wide prenatal and infant cash program in the US, partly inspired by the COVID-19 era expanded Child Tax Credit (CTC). The pandemic spurred the federal government to increase eligibility and the amount of cash for families under the American Rescue Plan. With this expanded credit, the US joined the list of some 140 countries that offer child cash-transfer programs, and initiated a historic decline in child poverty.

Although the CTC has since expired, Rx Kids was inspired to give direct transfers of $1,500 to women during pregnancy, and $500 a month for the baby for six months or a year.

“During COVID-19, as a nation, we became like all those other countries in the world, and we gave millions of families unconditional cash allowances, and that dropped child poverty to its lowest level ever,” said Hanna.

“Millions of kids in the United States came out of poverty. All these outcomes improved: housing stability, nutrition security, decreased debt, less abuse and neglect, decreased parental stress. The list went on and on of all these amazing outcomes, and that was not renewed by one vote in the US Senate, and millions of kids went back into poverty.”

Maternal mental health and well-being improve

The unconditional cash transfers enabled pregnant women to take time off from work and to get regular health check-ups.

The cash transfers also reduced postpartum depression rates and boosted mothers’ self-reported feelings of hopefulness. Families also reported better trust in healthcare institutions, something that has taken a hit during the pandemic, especially in poorer communities. The study compared a cohort of Flint mothers and infants to three other Flint cohorts who did not receive the cash transfer.

“This money allowed me to take more time off work,” is a common refrain among the moms, said Hanna. “Or, ‘I could afford to catch up on rent.’”

Because the program is universal, and not just for low-income families, there isn’t the same stigma that is sometimes associated with welfare programs.

“We’re targeting poor places with this intervention, not poor people. And that focus on poor places is easily replicated,” said Keen.

GiveDirectly is launching a similar program in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and hopes to expand beyond Michigan into neighboring states.

Other metrics also improved. Evictions fell by 91%, being behind on rent or mortgages dropped, and nutritional access improved. These are often key measures of future stability and success in a child’s life, said Hanna.

‘Moms know what they need’

Cash transfers improve maternal health
“We’re targeting poor places with [cash transfers], not poor people. And that focus on poor places is easily replicated,” said Keen.
Direct cash transfer programs do run the risk of participants spending the money in ways not intended by the program.

“There are understandable concerns for the unconditionality of these programs,” said Keen. “You may think that people will spend the money on alcohol or cigarettes.”

But Keen points to results that show a reduction in spending on those goods.

Preterm births also may have dropped in Flint because those mothers may have reduced smoking, commonly linked to poor birth outcomes. Flint mothers who received cash transfers saw a 1.7% drop in smoking while pregnant, and a 5.7% increase in seeking adequate prenatal care, compared to their peers.

Spending on harmful products are minor concerns when compared to the overall efficiency of the unconditional cash transfer model, Keen noted. Without work, education, or even income requirements, there aren’t many administrative costs associated with running this kind of program.

Indeed, a Michigan-based economic think tank published a piece in support of the program, saying “spending your own money on yourself” is the most efficient way to spend money, unlike many of the government welfare programs that restrict eligibility.

Public health is often criticized for being paternalistic, notes Hanna. “We think we know what’s best for you. But this uproots that notion and conveys a sense of trust and empowerment.”

“Moms know what they need,” she said. Furthermore, the program’s unconditionality has been a boon in participation. Nearly every eligible newborn has been enrolled, unlike some federal welfare programs, which may only have 50% intake.

The program has bipartisan support, largely because of its efficient model. It’s already expanded to 11 rural and urban communities in Michigan.

Over 3,000 families have since been enrolled in the Rx Kids program, totalling $14.5 million in direct cash transfers.

“Bringing a child onto this earth is hard for everyone, and as a community, we should come together and support people through that process,” said Keen.

Image Credits: Sipho Ngondo/ Unsplash, International Confederation of Midwives, Rx Kids .

Vast areas of coal ash contamination alongside an Indian coal processing facility.

A sweeping new report by a consortium of climate and health experts offers a global indictment of how fossil fuels harm populations – from extraction to emissions, devastating human health from cradle to grave. Treating the fossil fuel sector like the tobacco sector will help, recommends the study’s authors.

Fossil fuel advertisements should be banned, and the industry representatives barred from attending climate negotiations like the upcoming COP30, the 30th UN climate conference. There should be an immediate end to global fossil fuel subsidies, which reached an estimated $7 trillion in 2022. 

These are some of the recommendations contained in the report, ‘Cradle to Grave: The Health Toll of Fossil Fuels and the Imperative for a Just Transition’, which tracks the damage that fossil fuels do to humans, the environment, and the planet. 

Follows study linking specific heatwaves to fossil fuel extraction

Frequency of heatwave events in the 2020s, where most of the world is seeing 6-9 events (medium brown), or 9-15 or more events (darker brown) a year.

This follows another study, published last week in Nature, which specifically linked over 200 extreme heatwaves reported between 2000-2023, linking the heatwaves to extraction activities by 180 fossil fuel and cement producers, and one-quarter of events directly to activities by 14 of the biggest ‘carbon majors’ – that is fossil fuel and cement producers.

These include extreme heatwaves such as the 2021 Pacific Northwest heat dome, the 2003 heatwave in France and southern Europe; as a 2013 event in eastern China and 2022 in India. The study relies on the expansion of a well-established event-based framework. Owing to global warming since 1850–1900, the median of the heatwaves during 2000–2009 became about 20 times more likely, and about 200 times more likely during 2010–2019, the report says. 

Seven year-old Princess developed asthma growing up near coal mines in  Emaalahleni, South Africa.

Cradle to Grave author, Shweta Narayan says it is not about chasing Net Zero at a future date, but “about acting decisively now…. A focus on ‘net zero by 2050’ risks turning into a distant accounting exercise, while people are losing their lives and livelihoods today.” 

The immediate action includes an end to fossil fuel subsidies, investments in clean air, safe energy and resilient health systems, Narayan says. Net zero means balancing the amount of planet-warming greenhouse gases released with the amount removed from the atmosphere by cutting emissions as much as possible, and, sometimes controversially, capturing or offsetting the remainder.

Fossil fuel health harms on human body across the life cycle.

The report breaks down the effect of each stage of fossil fuels: at extraction, refining and processing, transport and storage, combustion, post-combustion waste, and legacy pollution. And parallelly, it traces impacts across the human lifespan, from foetal development to old age, showing how no stage of life is untouched.

The report is by the Global Climate and Health Alliance (GCHA), a consortium of more than 200 global health organisations and networks, across 125 countries, addressing climate change. 

While the peer-reviewed report offers no new data or evidence, it draws on multiple reports and case studies to paint a “richer picture” of the damage done by fossil fuels. GCHA’s core concern is that this “pattern” should not be repeated. 

Cradle to Grave’ is an indictment of the health harms of the fossil fuel sector.

In 2024, carbon dioxide emissions rose to a fresh record high exceeding the previous year’s 40.8 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent. Fossil fuel combustion and related industries contributed 90% of global carbon dioxide emissions. The planet has already breached the 1.5 C° global warming target set by the 2015 Paris Agreement by year’s end. Although it is yet to cross it over for a longer period, scientists predict that, too, will happen soon as emissions continue unabated.

Health harms from extraction to combustion

Top to bottom: healthy lungs; teenage lungs exposed to air pollution; adult smokers’ lungs.

Starting from the beginning, extraction (e.g., fracking, coal mining, offshore drilling) releases benzene, heavy metals, radioactive materials, and particulates, driving up rates of respiratory disease, cardiovascular illness, cancers, adverse birth outcomes, and neurological disorders in surrounding populations. For chemicals like benzene, there is no safe level for cancer prevention that has been found. 

The infant mortality rate, for instance, in the oil and gas-producing delta in the Nigerian state of Bayelsa, is one of the highest in the country at 31 deaths per 1,000 live births. Cradle to Grave reports that oil spills across the Nigeria Delta are estimated to have caused over 16,000 additional neonatal deaths in 2012 alone.

Life expectancy in the region is approximately 50 years, compared to the country’s national average of 53 years and 80 years in rich, developed nations. Residents of oil-impacted areas recount how oil spills have led to widespread sickness and death, with inadequate relief efforts compounding their plight.

Nalleli Cobo, diagnosed with stage 2 cancer, stands in front of the closed oil well site, Los Angeles, USA. One of the signs warns of cancer-causing toxins.

A young woman in Los Angeles, Nalleli Cobo, who lived near an oil well, suffered nosebleeds and asthma as a child. At age 15, Cobo and her family formed a group and sued the city of Los Angeles for environmental violations that allowed the well to operate in their neighbourhood, an area where most of the residents were Black, Latino and other people of colour. They won. But at age 19, Cobo developed Stage 2 cancer. 

Refining and processing of oil and gas have been shown to emit carcinogenic chemicals such as benzene, toluene, and volatile organic compounds (VOCs), posing serious risks to workers and residents in the proximity of refineries, especially in densely clustered industrial zones.

Transport and storage involve risks of chemical leaks and spills, which contaminate air and water and trigger acute and chronic health effects, including respiratory and neurological damage.

Combustion, whether in power plants, vehicles, or homes, generates particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5), nitrogen oxides, and other pollutants, significantly increasing risks of asthma, heart disease, stroke, cancer, dementia, and premature mortality.

Pollutants released from burning fossil fuels can enter the human body in three ways. Contact or Absorption, where materials come in contact with and are absorbed through the skin and eyes; ingestion, when materials are swallowed and are absorbed by the digestive system; and inhalation, when materials are breathed in and are absorbed by the respiratory system. 

Post-combustion waste (e.g., coal ash, gas flaring) continues to expose communities to heavy metals and toxins, contributing to long-term environmental degradation and chronic disease.

Legacy pollution from abandoned fossil fuel sites causes sustained harm decades later.

The report also flags the threat from a phenomenon called biomagnification. Certain pollutants like lead and mercury accumulate in the body over time. Some fossil fuel processes, like fracking and firefighting operations, create what are commonly known as forever chemicals, per- and poly-fluoroalkyl substances (PFAS). These do not break down and persist in the soil and water. As these toxins move up the food chain, their concentration increases, which is known as biomagnification. 

How fossil fuel toxins enter the body

Indian Children exposed to smoke from underground coal fires.

Cradle to Grave has singled out coal-fired power plants, in particular, for their health harms.  This is because coal combustion emits more particulate matter, pollutants and heavy metals per kilowatt hour than do other fossil fuels, resulting in increased health risks per unit of electricity. 

In 2024, global coal demand was 8.79 billion tons, the highest ever, in absolute terms. With falling renewable power costs, the CGHA team points out there is no reason to build any new coal power capacity. 

Only six countries are installing new capacity this year, according to the Global Coal Power Tracker, with China accounting for over two-thirds of new installations, and India the next highest. All the countries pursuing new coal power plants are in Asia, including Indonesia, Republic of Korea, Bangladesh, and the Philippines. 

Yet, as the report shows, it is in China’s Tongliang, where the health benefits of shutting down a coal-fired power plant are starkly visible in local communities. A cohort of children born after a local CFPP closure had larger head circumferences, lower levels of DNA showing signs of alteration by polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in their blood, and better overall neurocognitive development than the cohort of children born while the plant was still operating. 

Rising threat from plastic and agrochemicals 

Over the past 30 years, plastics production increased fourfold, with growth rates still rising exponentially.

The report also warns against spiking pollution from plastics and chemicals in agriculture. Fossil fuels are used in the production of chemical fertilisers and pesticides. While the role of oil and gas companies in the growing plastics crisis is well-documented, links between the fossil fuel and agrochemical industries have received far less attention. 

In plastics, recent studies have identified over 4,200 fossil-fuel derived chemicals as toxic from some 16,000 known chemicals. Plastic particles and their associated chemicals are now found throughout the human body, including in the brain, heart, lungs, and even in placenta and breast milk, leading to profound negative health impacts.

In 2019, the production of monomers and polymers, the building blocks of plastics, also generated 2.24 gigatons of CO2e (carbon dioxide equivalents), accounting for 5.3% of global greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs). The growth in plastics production is expected to increase by up to 4% annually, tripling by 2060. 

“​​Energy and transport remain the largest sources, but plastics and fertilizers are significant and fast-growing contributors. Plastics, almost entirely fossil fuel-based, generate widespread health harms through toxic exposures and microplastic contamination. Fertilizers and pesticides, derived largely from gas and oil, contribute to GHG emissions, with additional impacts from nitrous oxide release and water and soil contamination,” Narayan said at a press briefing just after the report’s publication. 

Carbon Capture and Storage CCS, a ‘dangerous distraction’

 

Cradle to Grave calls out carbon capture – essentially sucking CO2 out of the atmosphere and burying it – as a ‘dangerous distraction.’ By the end of 2023, no CCS project had met its CO2 capture targets. Nor does modelling show that it helps to remove CO2 sufficiently to advance net zero targets – contrary to governments and corporate interests that have promoted it as a ‘green’ solution for reducing CO2 emissions in “difficult  to abate” sectors. 

Map of oil and gas wells, coal mines, extraction sites, pipelines and lease blocks combined creates a dense network of activities across the planet.

Reliance on CCS, moreover, allows fossil fuel use to persist, and with it, the range of associated health harms from extraction to combustion. An example from the US shows how dangerous the technology remains. Pipelines transporting compressed CO2 create so-called “kill zones,” as seen in a 2020 leak in Satartia, Mississippi, which caused vehicles to stall and led to hospitalisations from dizziness and nausea. 

Carbon capture provoked a sharp criticism from the International Energy Agency, which said it was “no silver bullet.” But the IEA has not called for scrapping it altogether, instead saying that after many years of research and development “but rather limited practical experience” it has to shift to a higher gear.

‘What governments need to do’

GCHA says it represents 46 million health workers in 125 countries. It wants this report to be treated by political leaders not as an environmental warning alone but as a public health mandate. 

The evidence shows fossil fuels cause harm from pregnancy through old age, driving asthma, cancers, heart disease, and premature deaths.

Stop the trillions of dollars of subsidies to the fossil fuel industry and move this to building public health systems, clean energy and justice for communities bearing the heaviest burdens. 

Finally, it calls for the regulation and restriction of fossil fuel lobbying, advertising, and “disinformation”, just as was done with tobacco.

Like tobacco, fossil fuels and the products they enable, such as automobiles, should not be treated as objects of  power and pleasure,  the authors highlight, saying: “Cancer is not sexy, asthma and strokes are not sexy, developmental issues in children are not sexy.” 

Image Credits: Stephen Amirtharaj/Global Climate and Health Alliance , Ishan Tankha and Clean Air Collective, UNICEF, Dylan Paul, Center for Environmental Rights, Global Climate and Health Alliance , Lung Care Foundation, India, Tamara Leigh Photography for the Goldman Environmental Prize), , Plastics Atlas, 2019.

IGWG co-chairs, Brazil’s Tovar da Silva Nunes and the UK’s Mathew Harpur.

Amid rising disease threats, it is “critical” that the World Health Organization (WHO) presents a completed pandemic agreement to the United Nations (UN) High-Level Meeting (HLM) on Pandemic Prevention, Preparedness and Response in 2026, WHO Director General Dr Tedros Adhanom told member states at the start of negotiations on the final outstanding annex to the agreement on Monday.

“The next pandemic or major global health emergency is not a question of if, but when,” Tedros told the Inter-governmental Working Group (IGWG) meeting in Geneva to conclude talks on a Pathogen Access and Benefit-Sharing (PABS) system.

The PABS annex is due to be adopted by the World Health Assembly in May next year, and thereafter taken to the HLM, said Tedros.

According to Article 12 of the pandemic agreement, the IGWG needs to develop provisions to govern the PABS System, “including definitions of pathogens with pandemic potential and PABS materials and sequence information, modalities, legal nature, terms and conditions, and operational dimensions”.

The negotiation timetable is extremely tight, but the IGWG Bureau has drawn up a draft outline of what PABS needs to cover, suggested definitions and compiled a list of experts to guide the talks.

Some of these experts were suggested at an informal meeting of the IGWG last week. They include the Dr Farida Al-Hosani from the United Arab Emirates, who chairs the WHO’s Pandemic Influenza Preparedness (PIP) Framework Advisory Group; Australia’s Dr Jodie McVernon, director of Doherty Epidemiology and public health lead at the Doherty Institute; Italian pharmocologist Dr Marco Cavaleri, who heads the European Medicines Agency’s (EMA) office of biological health threats and vaccines strategy, and Thailand’s Professor Punnee Pitisuttithum, head of the Vaccine Trial Centre at Mahidol University in Bangkok.

Member states have acknowledged that the process needs expert guidance as the annex will need to harmonise with several international agreements covering intellectual property and trade, as well as the Nagoya Protocol, which determines how to share the benefits arising from the use of genetic resources fairly and equitably.

Standard contracts

The Third World Network called for legally binding contracts with manufacturers under PABS.

Several stakeholders who addressed the open session of the IGWG called for the annex to include standard, legally binding contracts for manufacturers who want to use pathogens to develop vaccines, diagnostics and therapeutics.

Drugs for Neglected Diseases Initiative (DNDi) proposed “model contracts that embed equity”, and “non-exclusive licencing approaches” to enable technology and knowledge transfer and capacity strengthening.

The Third World Network advocated for legally binding contracts and clear governance mechanisms.

The Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) “embeds contractual obligations for access in our agreements with partners developing pandemic products”, but said that this “only addresses access in one part of the value chain”.

PABS benefit-sharing provisions should not discourage innovative developers and manufacturers, CEPI stressed. 

CEPI is developing a biospecimen sourcing initiative of samples from survivors of infectious disease outbreaks, “which will provide a practical example of how to enable timely, ethical access to clinical specimens for immunoassay development and vaccine development”. 

Avoid ‘excessive obligations’

The IFPMA’s Grega Kumer warned against “excessive or unclear obligations” and “a complex legal maze”, which would undermine the “fragile” pandemic innovation ecosystem.

“Free and unhindered access to pathogens and their associated sequence information is fundamental to global health security,” said Kumer.

“This openness, regardless of origin or intended use, must be preserved to maintain the agility of the research and innovation ecosystem.”

The IFPMA also wants PABS to be operational for pandemics only and not public health emergencies of international concern (PHEIC).

Gavi, the vaccine alliance, called for clear definitions of terms, particularly pathogens with pandemic potential, and called for a PABS system that can “deliver an end-to-end solution, from access to materials and sequence data to the fair allocation and delivery of vaccines, therapeutics and diagnostics”

The EU’s Americo Zampetti (right)

The European Union’s (EU) Americo Zampetti stressed that the PABS system should “increase the availability and affordability of safe vaccines, therapeutics and diagnostics (VTDs)” during a pandemic emergency.  

It should also “enhance the ability of WHO and other key partners in the UN system and beyond to swiftly and effectively act to save lives by distributing relevant and safe VTDs to those most in need”.

However, he warned that the EU “will not support a system that negatively impacts the innovation ecosystem and disincentivises innovation”.

‘Not a business deal’

Addressing the open session, Bangladesh urged member countries to remember that they are “not negotiating a business deal, but an agreement to save lives”.

Malaysia, speaking for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), said the association has made significant strides to safeguard members in pandemics, including through the ASEAN Centre for public health emergencies and emerging diseases, biological threat surveillance centre and Emergency Operation Centre network. 

However, the PABS system will provide a “more coherent and structured regional framework for pandemic preparedness and response”, enabling “a regional platform for technology transfer”, pool procurement of VDTs, and building regional research, laboratory, regulatory and manufacturing capacity “so that benefit sharing is translated into lasting resilience”. 

Tanzania, speaking for the Africa plus plus Egypt, Sudan and Tunisia (usually part of WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region), said the annex presents an opportunity to “operationalize equity in tangible ways”.

“The Africa region underlines the need for legal certainty and for the primacy of mutual trust, cooperation, accountability and transparency in the PABS system.”

Global Fund Executive Director Peter Sands at a press briefing this week in Geneva.

While deaths from malaria have fallen by 29% since over the past two decades, mortality could rise again this year due to the cuts in global health funding seen recently, says Peter Sands, executive director of the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria.

“There has been a significant impact…and I suspect that we may well see an increase in the number of children dying of malaria this year in part due to the reductions in funding,” Peter Sands,  told reporters in Geneva as the organization released its annual Results Report.

Progress in reducing deaths from the disease, which still kills about 600,000 people a year, had already stalled during the pandemic. Meawhile, climate change drivers of more warm and wet weather are facilitating mosquito breeding and parasite transmission, while regional conflicts make drugs, vaccines and bed nets harder to distribute.  And to make matters worse, more pockets of parasitic resistance to currently available drugs are emerging, according to the Global Fund’s 2025 report.

Standing water post hurricane
Standing water in flood zones, seen here in the aftermath of Hurricane Otis, creates ideal grounds for mosquitoes to breed.

The net result could lead to more than 100,000 additional malaria deaths this year, Sands warned, a huge setback in the historic gains seen. Three-quarters of the 608,000 malaria deaths in 2022, the latest year for which data is available, were in children under the age of five, with Sub Saharan Africa bearing the brunt of the mortality, the report says.

Malaria infection rates can rise dramatically and abruptly, Sands noted, warning that “malaria is a disease that reacts very quickly.. and it doesn’t react in small percentage changes.”

For instance, Pakistan’s massive flooding in 2022, led to a whopping 2.6 million malaria cases that year – as compared to only about half a million in 2021.Fragile and conflict ridden states that are home to some 16% of the global population, bear nearly two-thirds of the global malaria burden, as well as one quarter of TB cases and 17% of new HIV infections.

Impressive results – so far

Global Funds results report summary

Despite the serious threats on the horizon, the recent report still reflects impressive results archived since the organization’s inception in 2002. In less than a quarter century, the combined death rate from AIDS, tuberculosis (TB) and malaria has been reduced by 63% – saving an estimated 70 million lives. 

 “This shows that with the right tools, strong partnerships and sustained investment, we can change the course of global health for the better,” Sands also said. “But in today’s fast-changing geopolitical environment, there is no room for complacency. The global health community must move faster to reduce fragmentation, eliminate duplication and make it easier for countries to work with us.” 

As of 2024, a record number of people were on antiretroviral therapy (ARVs) for HIV, a record number of people were receiving treatment for TB, and the scale-up of malaria prevention efforts was at a peak, with new vaccines approved by regulators launched in high-priority Sub-Saharan African nations, the report states.

HIV and AIDS

Over 79% of people in Global Fund-supported countries were on ARVs in 2024.

In 2024, 88% of people living with HIV in Global Fund-supported countries knew their status, 79% were on ARVs, rising to 85% of pregnant women living with HIV –  the highest levels ever recorded. Use of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for HIV prevention surged, with 1.4 million people in Global Fund-supported countries receiving PrEP in 2024 – a 325% increase from 2023. 

 Since the Global Fund was founded in 2002, the AIDS-related mortality has been cut by 82% and HIV incidence rate by 73% in the countries where the Global Fund invests. Even so, in 2024, 630,000 people still died of AIDS-related causes, and there were 1.3 million new HIV infections globally – around 3.5 times more than the global target of fewer than 370,000 new infections by 2025. But amongst all the diseases covered, Sands sounded the strongest notes of optimism around teh possibility of making further progress on HIV and meet a key 2030  Sustainable Development Goal. 

“We really have the oportunity to accelerate the elimination of HIV as a public health threat,” said Sands. “We now have tools available to really change the trajectory,” he noted, referring to the new long-acting injectable drug lenacapavir that can be administered every six months and is nearly 100% effective in preventing disease. At the end of 2024, the Global Fund committed to reaching 2 million people with lenacapavir, a promising injectable for HIV prevention.

And just last week,  US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the United States  would make a pre-market commitment to purchase lenacapavir from the pharma manufacturer Gilead Sciences, to support distribution by Global Fund in some 8-12 high burden countries, with Undersecretary of State Jeremy Lewin, praising the partnership.  The announcement, honoring a Biden-era commitment to support the drug’s distribution, represented one of the few global health “wins” since US President Donald Trump took over at the White House.  

Tuberculosis

A trial participant is prepared for a blood test as part of a trial of new TB drugs that can overcome drug resistant pathogens.

In 2023, treatment coverage for all forms of TB reached 75% in countries where the Global Fund invests – its highest ever level, up from 45% in 2010; 44% of people with drug-resistant TB started treatment. Of those starting TB treatment, 88% were successfully treated and 91% of people living with HIV who had TB were on antiretroviral therapy. 

Since 2002, efforts to provide equitable access to prevention, testing and treatment services, find and treat “missing” people with TB, fight drug‑resistant TB and reduce prices for TB commodities have helped drive down the mortality rate by 57% and the incidence rate by 28%.

“In 2024, more people were diagnosed, more people were treated, and the treatment success rates were higher than ever before. So actually, 24 was a year of great progress, on TB,” Sands said. Here, too, innovation will prove crucial to further progress, he stressed, citing the development and scale-up of AI-powered TB detection and mobile digital chest X-rays stations, enabling faster and better diagnosis – a longstanding barrier to TB treatment. 

But TB is still the world’s deadliest infectious disease. It killed an estimated 1.3 million people in 2023, and drug-resistant TB remains a major threat to global health security. Fragile health systems, conflict and economic pressures threaten to reverse the gains made over the past two decades, Sands warned.

Malaria 

Tomnjong Thadeus with his 3-year-old daughter Gabriella in Soa, Cameroon. One third of people in Africa’s most malaria-endemic countries still don’t have bednets.

As for malaria, the target of elimination of malaria as a public health problem is now within reach, as demonstated by the experiences of both Suriname and Timor-Leste – both countries with wet, tropical  “mosquito friendly” climates that were certified as malaria-free by the World Health Organization in 2025.

“With sufficient political will and sufficient resources, We can, end malaria,” Sands said.

In countries where the Global Fund invests, access to an insecticide-treated net reached 61%, with 53% of people at risk using a mosquito net in 2023 – the highest levels to date. More than 95% of people with signs and symptoms of malaria were tested.

Strengthened access to testing, treatment and prevention options, as well as the scale‑up of dual active ingredient insecticide‑treated nets to fight drug and insecticide resistance have contributed to the reductions in disease incidence and the death rate. 

But rising conflict, disruptions from extreme weather events and increasing resistance to antimalarial drugs and insecticides are also complicating those efforts, raising risks of resurgence in the most vulnerable groups – such as children under 5 and pregnant women. 

“With sufficient political will and sufficient resources, We can, end malaria,” Sands said. “However, in the places where malaria is biggest, and that’s almost all in, Africa, we’re not making the kind of progress we need to.

“In fact, progress has stalled, and we are facing significant challenges due to a combination of climate change, conflict in some of the most malaria-affected places; resistance, the malaria mosquitoes have become resistant to some of the most commonly used insecticides, and  we’re increasingly seeing resistance, to some of the most commonly used treatments. And frankly, inadequate funding.

“Because to beat malaria, you have to have a concentration of investment across a multiple set of tools in order to drive down, transmission,” he pointed out, citing newer, and the dual active ingredient bednets as an example.
“They’re 45% more effective than conventional insecticide-impregnated bed nets, and they only cost 70 cents more. The challenge we face is that we’re still in a position where only two-thirds of the people who could benefit from having a bed net actually have a bed net. So a third of the population in the malaria-endemic places are, sleeping without that basic protection.”

Health systems strengthening and global health security

Examining an expectant mother in Kisumu, Kenya. Since 2019, a partnership between the Global Fund, Takeda Pharmaceuticals and the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine has supported training for health care workers to integrate HIV, TB and malaria services into antenatal and postnatal care .

While the story is “rather different” across the three diseases, the Global Fund has also stepped up its investments in health systems – for a total of $2.7 billion in 2024. Those investments yield cross-cutting benefits that “go way beyond HIV, TB and malaria,” Sands said.

For instance, strengthened laboratory and diagnostic networks have not only enhanced national responses to HIV, TB and malaria, but also enabled better detection and management of co-infections such as hepatitis B, hepatitis C and human papillomavirus, the Global Fund says. In addition, they have increased countries’ capacity to safely test for high-risk diseases including mpox, Ebola, Marburg virus and Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever.

“Over the last few years, and triggered by the experience of COVID, we have [also] invested over $600 million in improving the provision of medical oxygen in low- and middle-income countries. And this is often investing in what are called pressure swing absorption plants, PSA plants, which, about the size of this room, which essentially create medical oxygen out of the atmosphere,” he said that during the pandemic, 9 out of 10 hospitals did not have medical oxygen prior to the pandemic. Now, they have access for other services such as neo-natal treatmetns, material health, acute trauma and surgery.”

Eighth Replenishment drive 

The Global Fund’s Eighth Replenishment – launched in February 2025 – is a defining moment for the organization. It aims to raise some $18 billion by the end of November for the next three-year funding cycle, which runs from  2027 to 2029. 

So far, the Global Fund has raised close to $700m from countries, including Australia, Luxembourg, Norway and Spain, as well as private sector donors like the London-based Children’s Investment Fund Foundation.  At the same time, the US retreat from most global health funding commitments, and the downsizing of contributions from other traditional donors, is adding to an already challenging fiscal environment.

In July, the Global Fund confirmed that it was cutting $1.43 billion from the remainder of its 2025-2026 budget. And further adjustments are now being made to the “realities of the funding situation,” Sands admitted. Although the organization has released no data on staff cutbacks, Sands tacitly admitted these are happening, including termination of staff on short term contracts or COVID-related contracts in the Geneva headquarters, where some 1000 people have been employed.  

From the early days, the organization also made national self-reliance an integral part of its funding strategy. Since 2002, 52 HIV, TB and malaria disease programs across 38 countries have transitioned from the Global Fund. By 2026, another 12 programs from eight countries are expected to transition away from Global Fund support.

With a successful Replenishment, the Global Fund projects that it could help save up to 23 million lives between 2027 and 2029 and reduce the mortality rate from AIDS, TB and malaria by 64% by 2029, compared to 2023 levels, while strengthening health and community systems to fight new outbreaks and accelerate pathways to self-reliance.

At the same time, Sands admits, “this has been, a volatile year, let’s say, and there have been… has been significant disruption, to global health funding. And I think it’s important to recognize that we have a lot to gain and a lot to lose. We have made enormous progress, in improving the health of the poorest communities in the world. But that… those gains are fragile and could be reversed.”

Image Credits: Vincent Becker/ Global Fund, Global Fund , Direct Relief/Felipe Luna, The Global Fund/ Saiba Sehmi, TB Alliance, Brian Otieno /Global Fund.

Emergency responders with a mother and child in an Ebola treatment centre in the DRC in 2019.

At least 68 people are suspected of Ebola in four districts of the Democratic Republic of Congo’s (DRC) Kasai state, according to the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention.

Twenty cases have been confirmed and 16 people have died since the DRC declared the outbreak on 4 September, Africa CDC’s Dr Ngashi Ngongo told a media briefing on Thursday.

The first case was identified at the Bulape General Referral Hospital, and a nurse and laboratory technician who attended to the patient have also since died, said Ngashi.

Although this is the 16th Ebola outbreak in the DRC since 1976, it appears to be “a new zoonotic spillover” with sequencing showing that the strain is most similar to the 1976 outbreak rather than recent outbreaks, added Ngongo.

He added that, because of the remote nature of the outbreak, getting samples to laboratories “really takes time”.

The World Health Organization (WHO) has airlifted 12 tonnes of outbreak control materials, including personal protective equipment, patient isolation materials, water, sanitation and hygiene supplies to support clinical care and protect frontline health workers. 

“The affected localities are hard to reach. We are working round the clock to rapidly roll out response measures to ensure robust outbreak control to stop the virus from spreading further and save lives,” said Dr Mohamed Janabi, WHO Regional Director for Africa.  

Vaccination of health workers

Meanwhile, Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) is assisting the health ministry and the WHO to set up and manage a treatment centre at Bulape Hospital.

“We helped reinforce triage protocols, supplied essential medicines and personal protective equipment, and conducted training in infection prevention and control, and symptomatic care,” said Brice de le Vingne, MSF’s emergency coordinator. 

“Currently, a dozen MSF staff are present in Bulape, and we are sending in more people and tonnes of medical materials,” he added.

“We’re working hand in hand with Congolese health authorities to evaluate needs on the ground and determine where our support might also be required – such as in surveillance, community engagement, or vaccination.”

Around 68 health workers have already been vaccinated from a store of 2,000 vaccines held by the DRC.

The Africa CDC says that the outbreak poses “a major threat to national health systems and neighbouring countries, particularly Angola”.

Bulape town has been put under confinement by the state governor, and people are not allowed to move around freely.

While contract tracing was happening, it needed to reach more people, said Ngongo.

The WHO is working with 10 countries neighbouring the DRC to increase disease surveillance and contingency planning.

For example, in Angola, WHO is supporting the national authorities increase preparedness, especially in Lunda Norte Province, which borders Kasai Province in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Ebola virus disease is a rare but severe and often fatal illness in humans. Humans contract the virus from infected animals, while human-to-human transmission is through direct contact with blood or body fluids of an infected person, objects that have been contaminated with their body fluids or from the body of a person who has died from Ebola.

Image Credits: UNICEF/Tremeau .

Unhealthy diets are driving NCDs worldwide. Around 70% of primary school children in rural Mexican had a sugary drink for breakfast.

The final political declaration for the United Nations High-Level Meeting (HLM) on NCDs is substantially weaker than the zero draft, no longer referring to taxing sugar-sweetened beverages – while describing higher taxes on tobacco and alcohol as “considerations… in line with national circumstances” rather than concrete proposals.

However, targets for reducing tobacco use and increasing access to hypertensive management and mental health care have survived the negotiations.

Health Policy Watch can exclusively reveal the final declaration (see link below), after negotiations between the 193 UN member states were concluded last week. The declaration is due to be adopted  at the HLM on 25 September.

READ: Political Declaration of UN High-Level Meeting on NCDs

The zero draft target of “at least 80% of countries” implementing excise taxes on tobacco, alcohol, and sugar-sweetened beverages to levels recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) by 2030 is completely absent from the final draft.

The declaration has also removed virtually all references to WHO recommendations. This is apparently at the insistence of the United States, which withdrew from the WHO when Donald Trump became president in January, sources close to the talks told Health Policy Watch.

The WHO has developed a wealth of evidence-based strategies to address the group of killer conditions – including cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes and hypertension – that are driving deaths globally.

Only 19 of the 193 UN member states are on track to achieve the earlier goal of reducing NCD mortality by one-third by 2030 (Sustainable Development Goal 3.4).

Tangible targets

Alison Cox, the NCD Alliance’s policy and advocacy director

Alison Cox, the NCD Alliance’s policy and advocacy director, told a media briefing on Wednesday that the alliance “warmly welcomes” the declaration’s “time-bound and tangible targets”, particularly 150 million fewer tobacco users, 150 million more people under hypertension management, and 150 million more people with access to mental care by 2030.

“The fact these targets have survived a tough negotiation progress is evidence that this declaration represents political commitment to faster action,” said Cox.

The three previous UN HLMs on NCDs (since 2011) “have stopped short of including this kind of specific measure”, she added.

She also welcomed two other targets related to access to NCD medicines and care, and financial protection policies to cover patient care.

The first aims for “at least 80% of primary health care facilities in all countries have availability of WHO-recommended essential medicines and basic technologies for non-communicable diseases and mental health conditions, at affordable prices, by 2030” (clause 63).

The second target is for “at least 60% of countries have financial protection policies or measures in place that cover or limit the cost of essential services, diagnostics, medicines and other health products for non-communicable diseases and mental health conditions by 2030.

“These two targets would be critical in delivering care while reducing the growing amount of out-of-pocket expenditure,” said Cox, adding that around 1.3 billion people have been pushed into poverty by health spending. 

Influence of health-harming industries

However, Cox decried the dilution and weakening of commitments to “well-established, evidence-based interventions”, particularly the removal of excise taxes on harmful products.

This was likely to be the result of “the health-harming industries, who lobby governments so hard – industries like tobacco, alcohol, ultra-processed food and sugar sweetened beverages, and indeed, fossil fuels”, said Cox.

“We’ve heard from early this year that representatives of these companies were seeking meetings with governments in their capitals and with their missions in New York, and it’s very frustrating because these interactions are often not documented and they’re not transparent, yet we can see these interests represented in the outcome of this negotiation process.”

Cox said that while the alliance did not know which countries had pushed for references to taxes to be dropped, many countries in the European Union opposed additional taxes on alcohol because they have a large wine industry.

The declaration also makes no mention of action against food high in salt, fat and sugar, which Cox described as “a missed opportunity”.

Government under-spending on NCDs

Dr David Watkins

Cox was speaking at the launch of an NCD Alliance report published on Wednesday on financing for NCDs, which found that most countries are “dangerously underspending” on the leading cause of death worldwide, according to the NCD Alliance.

Countries should spend 1.1% to 1.7% of their gross national income (GNI) on NCDs to provide universal coverage – but currently spend just 0.26% to 0.46% of GNI, according to the report.

The report, compiled by University of Washington researchers, exposes “the scale of the chronic underinvestment that we’ve seen in NCDs for decades”, said Katie Dain, NCD Alliance CEO.

A significant proportion of government spending on NCDs goes to medicines, with a wide variation in medicine prices across countries.

Dr David Watkins, lead author of the report, models potential cost-savings of 20% to 50% if the best prices were available globally. 

“Ministries of Health and Finance must act decisively on these findings,” said Watkins. “This analysis provides governments with data to support smarter investment on NCDs, mental health, and neurological conditions in their policies and budgets. It’s not just about increasing investment but about making health budgets go further.” 

Image Credits: Thomas Stellmach/Flickr, Unsplash.

US Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F Kennedy Jr at the MAHA strategy launch.

 After a month-long delay, the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) Commission’s strategy to address child health was released by the White House on Tuesday – but it offers few concrete proposals and no curbs on ultra-processed food or pesticides.

“We are now the sickest country in the world,” said US Health and Human Services (HHS)Secretary Robert F Kennedy Jr at the launch of the event, revealing that 76.4% of Americans are suffering from a chronic disease.

“We have the highest chronic disease burden of any country in the world. Yet we spend more on healthcare than any country in the world. We spend two to three times more than  European nations,” added Kennedy.

The strategy is the follow-up to MAHA’s first report, released in May, which laid out the commission’s assessment of the drivers of the ill-health of America’s children. 

While the MAHA strategy was intended to outline how to address these drivers, instead it presents a shopping list of 128 recommendations. that focus on conducting more research. This includes for nutrition, one of the key drivers of the US epidemics of obesity and non-communicable diseases (NCDs).

Ironically, the MAHA report was published on the eve of a global UNICEF report on childhood nutrition, which blames obesity in children on the increased consumption of ultra-processed food high in sugar, refined starch, salt, unhealthy fats and additives.

Noting that 21% of US children are obese, UNICEF proposes “mandatory policies to improve children’s food environments”, such as front-of-pack labelling on unhealthy products, restricting marketing to children, and higher taxes on unhealthy products.

In contrast, all that the MAHA strategy proposes is three nutrition-related recommendations: a standard definition of ultra-processed food, possible revisions to “front-of-pack nutrition information” after public comment and “potential industry guidelines to limit the direct marketing of certain unhealthy foods to children”.

‘Waffle words’

Marion Nestle, Emeritus Professor of Nutrition, Food Studies, and Public Health at New York University, said that the strategy “states intentions, but when it comes to policy, it has one strong, overall message: more research needed”.

Nestle, one of the world’s leading researchers on the influence of Big Food on health, was reacting to a leaked draft of the strategy in August, which has remained essentially the same as that released this week.

“Regulate?  Not a chance, except for the long overdue closure of the GRAS loophole (which lets corporations decide for themselves whether chemical additives are safe),” wrote Nestle.

“Everything else is waffle words: explore, coordinate, partner, prioritize, develop, or work toward.”

She also highlighted contradictions, such as prioritising “whole healthy foods” in nutrition assistance programs and promoting healthy meals in child care settings – while the Trump administration has cut the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) and the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC), which give food support to low-income people, pregnant women, breastfeeding mothers and mothers of children under the age of five.

“It doesn’t look like this is anything more than voluntary (and we know how voluntary works with the food industry; it doesn’t).  None of this says how or has any teeth behind it,” Nestle concluded.

Pesticides: Industry has prevailed

One of the dangers that the first MAHA report identified is children’s exposure to chemicals – including “heavy metals, PFAS [“forever chemicals”], pesticides, and phthalates”.

It also highlighted that studies of the pesticide, glyphosate (marketed as Roundup), “have noted a range of possible health effects, ranging from reproductive and developmental disorders as well as cancers, liver inflammation and metabolic disturbances”, while experimental animal studies have shown that exposure to another pesticide, atrazine, “can cause endocrine disruption and birth defects”.

The US uses more than one billion pounds of pesticides annually, which linger in the soil and groundwater. A 2021 study reported that pesticides had been found in 90% of the 442 US streams sampled by federal scientists.

However, farmers’ bodies – part of Trump’s rural support base – asserted that restricting pesticides such as atrazine and glyphosate will push up their costs and reduce yields. 

Conflict over pesticides between MAHA supporters and Trump allies is likely to have delayed the release of the report.

Ultimately, lobbying by farmers and the chemical industry has worked, as the MAHA strategy makes no mention of either atrazine or glyphosate, and simply affirms support for the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) process to control pesticides. 

“EPA, partnering with food and agricultural stakeholders, will work to ensure that the public has awareness and confidence in EPA’s pesticide robust review procedures and how that relates to the limiting of risk for users and the general public and informs continual improvement,” is the report’s only statement on pesticide control.

US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Administrator Lee Zeldin.

However, the EPA under Administrator Lee Zeldin has systematically removed environmental regulation over industries – from pollution controls to pesticide restrictions – since Trump assumed office.

Zeldin told Tuesday’s launch that the strategy “outlines the keys to success, from pro-growth policies that advance research to driving innovation, private sector collaboration, [and] increased public awareness”.

Moms Across America, an important part of Kennedy’s MAHA alliance, said it is 

“deeply disappointed that the committee allowed the chemical companies to influence the report”, describing the reference to the EPA improving its communication of its review process as “a pathetic attempt to assuage the American people”.

“Clearly, eliminating the words ‘glyphosate and atrazine’ (that were in the first report) is not a result of new science that shows these two most widely used herbicides to be safe, but rather a tactic to appease the pesticide companies,” the group said in a statement.

“Better words on the EPA’s website WILL NOT reduce childhood chronic illness, only bans and restrictions of pesticides will.”

Farmers are satisfied

In contrast, farmers generally expressed satisfaction with the strategy, particularly the powerful American Soybean Association, with almost half a million members who are massive consumers of glyphosate and atrazine, 

“Soybean farmers are thankful the MAHA Commission recognized EPA’s approval process as the global gold standard,” said ASA President Caleb Ragland. “Between the May report and today’s strategy, the Commission was accessible and open to learning more about modern farming practices. We truly felt like we had a seat at the table, and for that, we are incredibly appreciative.”

American Farm Bureau Federation President Zippy Duvall welcomed “a renewed focus on American-grown fresh fruits, vegetables and meat, along with reintroducing whole milk into the school meal programs”.

“Prioritizing voluntary conservation efforts for farmers and ranchers and optimizing EPA’s already robust pesticide regulatory process to accelerate innovation are welcome recommendations,” added  Duvall.

Vaccine pronouncements

The strategy also promises to “ensure that America has the best childhood vaccine schedule” by “addressing vaccine injuries, modernising vaccines with transparent, gold standard science, correcting conflicts of interest and misaligned incentives” and “ensuring scientific and medical freedom”.

The American Academy of Pediatrics, which has clashed with Kennedy over changes in access to COVID-19 vaccines, said that it “cannot ignore the fact that this report is being published in the context of other recent harmful actions by the administration and Congress that undermine many of the report’s recommendations”. 

“This administration’s unprecedented cuts to Medicaid and SNAP, along with its chaotic, confusing actions restricting vaccine access are worsening – not resolving—efforts to improve children’s health,” noted AAP, which represented 67,000 paediatricians.

Professor Peter Hotez, co-director of the Texas Children’s Hospital Center for Vaccine Development, described the strategy as “more of the same wellness/influencer grift and pseudoscience that antivaccine activists have been pushing for years”.

Hotez, who is also Dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor University, added that “medical freedom” is a “propaganda term that accelerated in the 2010s to deny kids access to life-saving vaccines, as announced in Florida last week”.

Action on medicines

The strategy has proposed a working group on prescriptions for medicines including selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, antipsychotics and mood stabilisers.

Late Tuesday, President Donald Trump issued a presidential memorandum to ensure that “direct-to-consumer prescription drug advertisements are providing consumers with full and accurate information”.

The memorandum directs Kennedy to ensure that prescription drug advertisements increase the amount of information regarding any risks associated with the use of prescription drugs.

UNICEF singles out the aggressive marketing of ultra-processed food as a driver of children’s rising obesity. Its research shows that retailers are more likely to display sweets and sugary cereals within children’s reach in poorer communities than in wealthier areas.

For the first time, more school children and adolescents worldwide are obese than underweight, according to a report released on Wednesday by the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF).

One in five children and adolescents aged 5-19 globally are overweight (some 391 million), while one in 10 are obese – putting them at risk of life-threatening diseases such as high blood pressure and diabetes.

Only sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia have more underweight than obese children, according to the report which draws on data from over 190 countries.

The report, which is called Feeding Profit: How Food Environments are Failing Children, lays the blame for the changing shape of children on ultra-processed food that is high in sugar, refined starch, salt, unhealthy fats and additives.

“These products dominate shops and schools, while digital marketing gives the food and beverage industry powerful access to young audiences,” according to UNICEF.

UNICEF executive director Catherine Russell added that “ultra-processed food is increasingly replacing fruits, vegetables and protein at a time when nutrition plays a critical role in children’s growth, cognitive development and mental health.”

Since 2000, the prevalence of underweight children aged 5-19 has declined from nearly 13% to 9.2%, while obesity rates have more than tripled, rising from 3% to 9.4%.

Pacific Island countries have the highest global prevalence of obesity in this age group, with a 38% prevalence in Niue, 37% in Cook Islands, and 33% in Nauru. These rates have all doubled since 2000, and “ are largely driven by a shift from traditional diets to cheap, energy-dense, imported foods”, according to UNICEF.

High-income countries such as Chile (27%), United States (21%) and the United Arab Emirates (21%) also experience high obesity rates in children.

Undernutrition, including wasting and stunting, remains a significant concern among children under the age of five in most low- and middle-income countries.

“In many countries we are seeing the double burden of malnutrition – the existence of stunting and obesity. This requires targeted interventions,” said Russell. “Nutritious and affordable food must be available to every child to support their growth and development. We urgently need policies that support parents and caretakers to access nutritious and healthy foods for their children.”

Prolific junk food advertising

A UNICEF poll of 64,000 young people aged 13-24 from 170 countries found that three-quarters had seen advertisements for sugary drinks, snacks, or fast foods in the previous week.

“Even in conflict-affected countries, 68% of young people said they were exposed to these advertisements,” UNICEF noted.

In adolescents aged 15–19 years, 60% had consumed more than one sugary food or beverage during the previous day, 32% consumed a soft drink, and 25% consumed more than one salty processed food, according to data from the Global Diet Quality Project.

“Unhealthy foods and beverages, including ultra-processed foods and beverages, are widely available, inexpensive and aggressively marketed in the places where children live, learn and play. 

“The unethical business practices of the ultra-processed food and beverage industry undermine efforts to put legal measures and policies in place to protect children from unhealthy food environments.”

UNICEF’s research in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica and Mexico found that retailers were more likely to prominently display sweet snacks and sugary cereals at entrances and within children’s reach in poorer communities than in wealthier areas.

Meanwhile, 70% of government officials and civil society representatives polled in 24 countries identified industry influence as a major barrier to introducing government-led food marketing controls. 

“Studies have found that the industry uses a mix of political, scientific, reputational management and marketing practices to delay, weaken, block and evade government policies,” according to UNICEF.

Possible interventions

Front-of-pack warning labels in Chile

The UN agency warns that the long-term health and economic benefits will be expensive for many countries, projecting that, by 2035, the global economic impact of overweight and obesity is expected to surpass $4 trillion every year.

It proposes several possible interventions to transform food environments and ensure children have access to nutritious diets.

These include mandatory policies to improve children’s food environments, such as front-of-pack labelling, marketing restrictions, taxes and subsidies for healthy food.

It also proposes banning the provision or sale of ultra-processed and junk foods in schools and prohibiting food marketing and sponsorship in schools.
It highlights progress made by the Mexican government, which was one of the first countries to tax sugary drinks and recently banned the sale and distribution of ultra-processed foods and items high in salt, sugar and fat in public schools.

Image Credits: Health Ministry of Chile.

Traffic congestion in Nairobi is a major contributor to rising air pollution.

NAIROBI, Kenya – The sun beats down on Tom Mboya Street, where buses belch black smoke into the air and vendors shout amid the constant honking of matatus (minibus taxis). 

The air is already thick with smoke before midday. In the midst of this stands James Muro, a fruit seller whose workday is measured in dust, fumes and strained breaths.

In 2024, he began having a persistent cough. At first, he thought it was nothing serious. But as weeks went by, the symptoms worsened – chest tightness, shortness of breath and eventually a bloody cough. 

A visit to Kenyatta National Hospital revealed a lung infection aggravated by long-term exposure to polluted air. 

“It felt like the city I depend on for survival was slowly choking me,” he says. For him, the city’s fading green lungs aren’t an abstract concern, they are a daily struggle to stay healthy. Muro’s struggle reflects the growing health toll of Nairobi’s shrinking spaces and rising air pollution.

Romanus Opiyo, an environmentalist at Stockholm Environment Institute, says that urban areas block air circulation, leading to poor air quality and compromised health. 

“Lack of green spaces and built-up areas act as blockades to air circulation which actually compromises people’s health and wellbeing,” said Opiyo, who stresses the importance of addressing challenges like human capital, budget allocation and community awareness and proper implementation of the Nairobi integrated Urban Development master plan.

“If there is an adequate budget allocation, national staff who are aware and also in numbers to reinforce awareness to the community and proper implementation of plans we will be able to solve these  gaps.”

“The loss of green spaces is not just an environmental issue. It is an urban health crisis. Vegetation acts as a natural filter, absorbing harmful pollutants such as particulate matter (PM 2.5).” 

PM 2.5 is a component of air pollution that is less than 2.5 micrometers in diameter,  30 times thinner than a human hair. These microscopic particles easily bypass the body’s natural defenses, lodge deep within the lungs, and penetrate the bloodstream.

This pollutant is linked to cardiovascular diseases; chronic respiratory illnesses, particularly chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and severe asthma and lung cancer. It also causes severe childhood conditions like pneumonia and stunted lung development.

Falling short of global standards

The Kenyan Constitution (2010, Article 42) guarantees every citizen the right to a clean and healthy environment. Yet, the disappearance of Nairobi’s green lungs shows how far reality falls short of this promise. 

WHO and UN-Habitat recommend that every resident should have access to at least 9–10 m² of green space per person, according to a 2016 WHO report on Urban Green Spaces and Health.

Nairobi, however, falls far below these thresholds.  According to the 2020 UN-Habitat Nairobi Public Space Inventory and Assessment Report, there are 826 public spaces in Nairobi City County. They occupy a combined area of 3106.4Ha – only 5.32% of the built up area – and translate to 6.56m2 per capita of public open space. 

Kenya’s Vision 2030 identifies environmental management as a pillar of sustainable development, while its National Land Use Policy calls for equitable access to urban green space. However, weak enforcement has seen Nairobi lose its green cover.

“One of the remaining indigenous urban forests in Kenya is Ngong Road Forest. However it faces repeated threats from rapid urbanization, expanding roads, encroachment for real estate and development, and installing utilities has continued to reduce the forest boundaries,” explains Wanjiru Hungi, a representative from Ngong Road Forest Association.

“Illegal logging and informal settlements have continually reduced the boundaries of the forest. Land grabbing and irregular allocations remain the most critical threat in the forest undermining the legal protection of the land,” she emphasises.

According to a study published in 2020 by Francis Oloo and colleagues, from approximately 6,600ha of forest land, 720 ha has been lost between 2000 and 2019, representing a loss of about 11%.  There is a clear need for Nairobi to work towards improving the amount of urban land designated, used and experienced as public space. This decline undermines Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 11, which calls for inclusive, safe, resilient, and sustainable cities with equitable access to green spaces.

Nairobi’s green cover in 2001 (31 December).
A comparison of Nairobi over two decades shows the loss of green cover: Top: in 2001 and Bottom: 2020 (both on 31 December).                                                           

“Sometimes it feels like someone is pressing down on my chest, the pain comes suddenly and I just stop what I am doing until it passes,” says Muro. 

Steadily worsening air pollution

Air pollution is the leading risk factor for death in Nairobi. The health burden is already evident. According to the State of Global Air 2024, air pollution contributed to more than 30,000 deaths in Kenya in 2021, representing 8% of all deaths nationwide. Children, the elderly, outdoor workers such as street vendors and traffic police, and people with existing conditions like asthma or diabetes face the highest risks.

Chest tightness is a common sign of PM 2.5 damage, which inflames the lungs and reduces airflow that can strain the heart and chest muscles.  

“Once inhaled, PM 2.5 triggers inflammation and oxidative stress, weakening the lungs and making people more vulnerable to infections,” explains Dr Joseph Ndung’u,  a specialist at a local hospital. 

In Nairobi, exposure to PM 2.5 is rising at an alarming pace. The annual average PM 2.5 concentration in Nairobi, Kenya is 18.4 µg/m³ – significantly higher than the World Health Organization (WHO)’s recommended annual threshold of 5 µg/m³. 

A recent health impact assessment for Nairobi using WHO’s AirQ+ tool suggests that this level of pollution can cause 400 and 1,400 premature deaths annually in the city. 

The steady increase in air pollution over the last decade has been fueled by motor vehicle emissions, industrial activity, open burning of waste, and the continued loss of trees and green buffers that once absorbed some of these pollutants.

Trends in annual average PM 2.5 levels Kenya from 1990-2020: State of Global Air (2024)

Air Pollution and disease

Global deaths attributable PM 2.5 in 2021  (State of Global Air 2024).

Trends over the last decade show a troubling rise but, unlike infectious diseases, the effects of air pollution are hidden and cumulative, building often unnoticed over time until they manifest as chronic illness. 

Deaths from air pollution (State of Global Air 2024).

The missing link

Non-motorised transport (NMT) is often described as the backbone of sustainable urban mobility. Unlike motorized transport, it produces zero emissions, improves physical health, and reduces congestion.  

In Nairobi, however, the connection between green spaces and NMT is steadily eroding. Parks, tree-lined corridors, and public walkways that once provided shaded, safe routes for pedestrians and cyclists have been lost to urban sprawl and poor planning. 

The result is twofold: more emissions from motor vehicles as residents rely heavily on matatus and private cars, and higher risks of traffic injuries as pedestrians are forced onto unsafe, congested roads.

“Shifting even a small percentage of short trips from cars to walking and cycling can improve air quality, while also reducing greenhouse gas emissions,” says Carly Gilbert-Patrick, the UN Environment Programme’s (UNEP) team leader for active mobility, digitalisation and mode integration. 

“It’s about reclaiming space and dignity for the people who rely on walking and cycling every day. From this we can see multiple benefits including environment, air quality, road safety, equity.”

The decline of green spaces has led to a decline of safe walking and cycling routes. This loss of active transport opportunities contributes to a sedentary lifestyle, which is driving up cases of obesity, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease, illnesses that could be prevented through daily walking or cycling. 

Road traffic injuries are the leading cause of death in 15 to 29-year-olds worldwide, with Kenya amongst the hardest hit in Africa, according to the WHO. Nairobi records thousands of pedestrian and cyclist injuries annually, many of them fatal.

Kenya has recognised this gap. In 2009, the Integrated National Transport Policy stressed low-emission mobility as a national priority, and the 2017 Non-Motorized Transport Policy calls for safer walking and cycling networks. 

Yet, on the ground, progress remains slow, and Nairobi continues to expand highways while neglecting pedestrian and cycling infrastructure. 

 “I work to feed myself, but the city’s streets are slowly stealing my strength.  The air I need to survive is slowly turning against me and  everyday is a battle between survival and sickness,” Muro says.

This article was produced as part of a collaboration between Health Policy Watch and KEMRI’s Health Journalism and Public Health course.

 

Image Credits: Timon Abuna, Google Earth.

An Ebola responder in Butembo in the DRC’s North Kivu, during an outbreak in 2019.

The latest Ebola outbreak in Kasai province in southern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is being hampered by lack of instructure, including roads and transport.

Samples from the index case and five other suspected cases took eight days to get to the National Public Health Laboratory (INRB) in Kinshasa, only arriving on 3 September.

The index case, a pregnant woman, died on 25 August – five days after seeking care at Bulape General Hospital in Kasai province with a high fever, bloody diarrhoea, haemorrhage and extreme weakness. 

At least 15 people, including four health workers, have died in the latest Ebola outbreak, according to the World Health Organization (WHO).

Meanwhile, some 28 suspected cases are being investigated in the Bulape health zone in Kasai province, which borders Angola.

Two of the health-care workers that had initially been in contact with the index case also developed similar symptoms and died. According to unconfirmed reports, a third health worker and lab technician in contact with the woman also died.

The DRC Health Ministry declared an outbreak on 4 September after laboratory tests confirmed the Zaire strain of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) from the six samples.

All six samples were confirmed by GeneXpert and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assays.

“The results obtained from whole genome sequencing suggest that the outbreak is a new zoonotic spillover event and is not directly linked to the 2007 Luebo or 2008/2009 Mweka EVD outbreaks,” according to the WHO.

The DRC’s Ministry of Health, with support from WHO and partners, is implementing public health response measures to contain the outbreak. 

The WHO has assessed the national public health risk posed by the current outbreak as high.

The virus is transmitted to humans through close contact with the blood or secretions of infected wildlife and then spreads through human-to-human transmission.

This is the sixteenth Ebola outbreak in the DRC since 1976. The last case was identified in 2022. A large outbreak in 2018-2020,  killed almost 2,300 people in North Kivu and Ituri.

Image Credits: UN Photo/Martine Perret.